GS -6.0 o220.5
LAC 6.0 u220.5
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
BSN

Minnesota @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dwight Powell registers in the 100th percentile for shooting ability with a a great 74.3% rate this year. Dwight Powell has sunk 50.0% of his three-pointers this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for three-pointers; their opposition has tallied the 3rd-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (11.1). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Dwight Powell

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Out of all players in the league, Dwight Powell registers in the 100th percentile for shooting ability with a a great 74.3% rate this year. Dwight Powell has sunk 50.0% of his three-pointers this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for three-pointers; their opposition has tallied the 3rd-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (11.1). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-103
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-103
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Josh Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Under
-118

Kyrie Irving has attempted a measly 18.1 field goals per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 20.1 rate last season. Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games while on his home court, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this season at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the league).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Kyrie Irving has attempted a measly 18.1 field goals per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 20.1 rate last season. Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games while on his home court, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this season at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the league).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 99th percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.2 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.7
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.7

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 99th percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.2 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

When it comes to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's stellar 39.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 27.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have attempted 21.8 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

When it comes to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's stellar 39.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 27.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have attempted 21.8 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid lands in the 80th percentile for 3-point shots hit, putting up 1.9 per game this year. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's stellar 39.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Among all players in the league, Naz Reid lands in the 84th percentile for free-throw efficiency with a a terrific 87.5% rate this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have attempted 21.8 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid lands in the 80th percentile for 3-point shots hit, putting up 1.9 per game this year. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's stellar 39.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Among all players in the league, Naz Reid lands in the 84th percentile for free-throw efficiency with a a terrific 87.5% rate this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have attempted 21.8 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams measures in the 77th percentile for threes scored, averaging 1.8 per game this year. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team this year (107.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have attempted 21.2 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Grant Williams

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams measures in the 77th percentile for threes scored, averaging 1.8 per game this year. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team this year (107.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have attempted 21.2 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 2.2 threes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's stellar 39.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Among all players in the league, Mike Conley registers in the 91st percentile for free-throw efficiency while playing away from home with a an outstanding 95.2% rate this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Mike Conley has made 2.2 threes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's stellar 39.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Among all players in the league, Mike Conley registers in the 91st percentile for free-throw efficiency while playing away from home with a an outstanding 95.2% rate this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 75.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's stellar 39.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup against Dwight Powell is a good one for field goals; when Powell is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 5.9 buckets per game (87th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 75.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's stellar 39.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup against Dwight Powell is a good one for field goals; when Powell is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 5.9 buckets per game (87th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-111
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-111
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive performance. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive performance. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-114

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 14.5 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. In contrast to last year's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 8.9 per game. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team this year (107.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 14.5 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. In contrast to last year's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 8.9 per game. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team this year (107.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.9 fouls per game while on the road this year. The 9th-most lethargic pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.9 fouls per game while on the road this year. The 9th-most lethargic pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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