Detroit @ Denver props

Jamal Murray has attempted 14.8 field goals per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray measures in the 87th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while playing at home with a an outstanding 44.0% rate this year. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Detroit Pistons have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 81st percentile for 3-point proficiency with a an excellent 39.9% rate this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 31.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Detroit Pistons have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has sunk 85.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 25.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Nikola Jokic has converted 75.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 33.9% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile. The faceoff with Jalen Duren rates in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs burying a massive 1.3 three-point shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).

As it relates to offense, the Pistons's unimpressive 111.4 points per game ranks 6th-lowest in the NBA this year. The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have secured 11.5 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (preserving possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted a colossal 24.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (8th-most in the NBA). Alec Burks will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic measures in the 95th percentile for 3-point attempts, putting up 7.8 per game this year. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Detroit Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. has made 48.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 8.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 30.8 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 45.0% on threes (27th-best in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has sunk 68.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year on his home court. Aaron Gordon has made 60.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 22.2% higher than he's made over the course of the year when playing at home. Aaron Gordon has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).