LIVE 11:33 2nd Nov 21
DET 40 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 41 2.0 u222.0
LIVE 07:33 1st Nov 21
MIN 11 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 9 7.0 u226.0
UTA 3.0 o224.0
SA -3.0 u224.0
ORL 5.0 o216.5
LAL -5.0 u216.5
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
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Houston @ Miami props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Holiday Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Holiday
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's made overall this season. Over the last 15 games, the other team has attempted 21.3 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

Aaron Holiday

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's made overall this season. Over the last 15 games, the other team has attempted 21.3 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jovic slots into the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a challenging one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.7%). The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jovic slots into the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a challenging one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.7%). The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jeff Green has made 58.1% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Jeff Green has been on the court for 22.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Jeff Green has sunk 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this year away from home.

Jeff Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Jeff Green has made 58.1% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Jeff Green has been on the court for 22.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Jeff Green has sunk 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this year away from home.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Under
-125

The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a difficult one; he has given up a mere 11.9 points per game when guarding other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low this year (2.6 free throw attempts per game: 17th percentile).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a difficult one; he has given up a mere 11.9 points per game when guarding other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low this year (2.6 free throw attempts per game: 17th percentile).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 29.6 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Kevin Love

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 29.6 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Under
-123
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Under
-123
Projection Rating

Jae'Sean Tate has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games while on the road, 1.7 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road. The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The rate of three-point shots drained against Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been very low (30.8%) when guarding opposing starting SFs this year (23rd percentile). The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

Jae'Sean Tate

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Jae'Sean Tate has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games while on the road, 1.7 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road. The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The rate of three-point shots drained against Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been very low (30.8%) when guarding opposing starting SFs this year (23rd percentile). The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 77th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have put up 12.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 77th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have put up 12.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). Jalen Green is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

Jalen Green

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

The Rockets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. The 4th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). Jalen Green is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 38.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 30.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 38.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 30.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Fred VanVleet has sunk 4.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Fred VanVleet has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Fred VanVleet has sunk 4.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Fred VanVleet has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 29.6 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets). The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 29.6 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-104

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 62.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.0% more than he's converted in all games this season playing at home. With respect to 3-pointers, the Heat's impressive 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 2nd-most in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on shots from the field (22nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, resulting in a good matchup. This year, the other team has come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense). Kyle Lowry has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made overall this season.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 62.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.0% more than he's converted in all games this season playing at home. With respect to 3-pointers, the Heat's impressive 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 2nd-most in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on shots from the field (22nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, resulting in a good matchup. This year, the other team has come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense). Kyle Lowry has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made overall this season.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has posted 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.3 more than he's posted over the course of the season at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. With respect to 3-pointers, the Heat's impressive 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 2nd-most in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 threes per game (28th-most in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a good matchup. This year, the other team has come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has posted 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.3 more than he's posted over the course of the season at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. With respect to 3-pointers, the Heat's impressive 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 2nd-most in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 threes per game (28th-most in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a good matchup. This year, the other team has come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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