Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-52
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
TSN, BSN, KJZZ

Utah @ Milwaukee picks

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UTA vs MIL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
K. Dunn o4.5 Points Scored
Projection 6.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -130 bet365
Projection updated: 473 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -130
4.5 +100
4.5 -135
4.5 +100
4.5 -156
4.5 +114

Kris Dunn has made 52.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 20.5% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year away from home. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have logged 21.7 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, making this a strong matchup for offensive output. The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

3-Pointers Made
K. Dunn o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +200 bet365
Projection updated: 473 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 +200
0.5 -250
0.5 +185
0.5 -250
0.5 +152
0.5 -213
0.5 +175
0.5 -230

Kris Dunn has made 52.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 20.5% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year away from home. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.3 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a good matchup. The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Total Rebounds
K. Middleton o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +105 betmgm
Projection updated: 473 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 +100
4.5 -130
4.5 +105
4.5 -140
4.5 +105
4.5 -139
4.5 -119
4.5 -115
4.5 -110
4.5 -120
4.5 -102
4.5 -120

Khris Middleton has totaled 4.4 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest by this standard in recent days: 85th percentile. Khris Middleton has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA playing at home this year. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz). Khris Middleton will likely see a spike in output across the board on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Total Assists
A. Jackson Jr. u3.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 -165 bet365
Projection updated: 473 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +135
3.5 -165
3.5 +130
3.5 -175
3.5 +143
3.5 -200
3.5 +135
3.5 -175

Andre Jackson Jr. has played 11.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 19th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA. Andre Jackson Jr. has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's been called for overall this season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Utah Jazz have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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