Memphis @ Dallas picks
American Airlines Center
MEM vs DAL Picks
NBA PicksThe Grizzlies check in as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts. Over the last 5 games, their opposition has averaged 32.7% on three-pointers (4th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a tough matchup. When guarding opposing starting Cs, Dwight Powell rates in the 79th percentile with an enormous 1.9 treys attempted against him per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should raise possessions for the Grizzlies.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Grizzlies). The Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Tim Hardaway Jr. stands to see a rise in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard ranks in the 15th percentile for shooting efficiency with a a subpar 36.0% rate this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a hard matchup. The Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Luke Kennard is expected to see a decline in output in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should raise possessions for the Grizzlies.
Kyrie Irving has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games at home. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 6.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a favorable matchup. The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Grizzlies). The Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Green has gone under 4.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.