New Orleans 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
ESPN, TSN

New Orleans @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 17.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (least in the league). Christian Braun stands to see a rise in performance for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Christian Braun

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 17.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (least in the league). Christian Braun stands to see a rise in performance for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-125

Jamal Murray has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Pelicans have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Jamal Murray has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Pelicans have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has made 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 40.0% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing away from home. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team this year (111.0). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.3

Larry Nance Jr. has made 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 40.0% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing away from home. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team this year (111.0). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has converted 51.7% of his field goals on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III registers in the 93rd percentile for 3-pointers made, compiling 2.7 per game this year. Trey Murphy III has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team this year (111.0). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Trey Murphy III has converted 51.7% of his field goals on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III registers in the 93rd percentile for 3-pointers made, compiling 2.7 per game this year. Trey Murphy III has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team this year (111.0). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.5 fouls per game at home this year. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Pelicans have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.5 fouls per game at home this year. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Pelicans have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Under
-110

Zion Williamson has attempted 0.4 3-pointers per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 13th percentile out of all players in the league. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.7). The most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Zion Williamson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Zion Williamson has attempted 0.4 3-pointers per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 13th percentile out of all players in the league. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.7). The most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

Aaron Gordon has sunk 70.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 14.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 75.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 45.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.9 minutes per game while at home this year. In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.4).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Aaron Gordon has sunk 70.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 14.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 75.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 45.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.9 minutes per game while at home this year. In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.4).

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram places in the 93rd percentile for shots from the field converted, averaging a colossal 8.3 per game this year. Brandon Ingram has successfully made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while playing away from home. Brandon Ingram has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram rates in the 90th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game away from his home court this year.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram places in the 93rd percentile for shots from the field converted, averaging a colossal 8.3 per game this year. Brandon Ingram has successfully made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while playing away from home. Brandon Ingram has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram rates in the 90th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game away from his home court this year.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones ranks in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.8 fouls per game when playing on the road this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans. The most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have brought down 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).

Herbert Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones ranks in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.8 fouls per game when playing on the road this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans. The most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have brought down 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

CJ McCollum has attempted a mere 15.1 shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 17.9 mark last year. CJ McCollum has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup. The most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

CJ McCollum has attempted a mere 15.1 shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 17.9 mark last year. CJ McCollum has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup. The most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 54.0% of his shot attempts from the field away from his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Jonas Valanciunas has converted 63.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 26.1% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. This year, their opposition has averaged 31.4 three attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a hard matchup. The number of shots from the field against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (11.0 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 54.0% of his shot attempts from the field away from his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Jonas Valanciunas has converted 63.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 26.1% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. This year, their opposition has averaged 31.4 three attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a hard matchup. The number of shots from the field against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (11.0 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 93rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 6.9 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has played 30.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 26.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 93rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 6.9 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has played 30.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 26.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-127

Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 82nd percentile for 3-point prowess with a a stellar 40.2% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making this a good matchup. Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 82nd percentile for 3-point prowess with a a stellar 40.2% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making this a good matchup. Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has successfully made 60.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 13 games at home, 30.2% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while on his home court. In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Peyton Watson has made a whopping 62.5% of his free throws this year, significantly more than his 45.7 mark last year. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 17.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (least in the league).

Peyton Watson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Peyton Watson has successfully made 60.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 13 games at home, 30.2% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while on his home court. In regard to offense, the Nuggets's impressive 120.5 points per game with the home court advantage rates 9th-highest in the league this year. Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Peyton Watson has made a whopping 62.5% of his free throws this year, significantly more than his 45.7 mark last year. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 17.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (least in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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