Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Charlotte 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, Sportsnet

Charlotte @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has successfully made 47.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games on their home court. Caleb Martin has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Caleb Martin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production across the board.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Caleb Martin has successfully made 47.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games on their home court. Caleb Martin has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Caleb Martin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production across the board.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has made an impressive 41.5% of his shots from downtown this season, a significant increase from his 21.7 mark last season. Nikola Jovic has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 1.7 less than he's tallied overall this year at home. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games on their home court. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on field goal attempts (30th-highest in the league) against the Hornets, designating this as a strong matchup. Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 11 games at home, 41.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Nikola Jovic has made an impressive 41.5% of his shots from downtown this season, a significant increase from his 21.7 mark last season. Nikola Jovic has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 1.7 less than he's tallied overall this year at home. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games on their home court. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on field goal attempts (30th-highest in the league) against the Hornets, designating this as a strong matchup. Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 11 games at home, 41.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Charlotte

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-113

The Hornets have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). Terry Rozier should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

The Hornets have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). Terry Rozier should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-118

Tyler Herro has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Tyler Herro has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense).

Cody Martin Points Scored Props • Charlotte

C. Martin
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 24th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games. This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). The matchup against the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Cody Martin

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 24th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games. This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). The matchup against the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Charlotte

N. Richards
center C • Charlotte
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+104

Out of all players in the NBA, Nick Richards places in the 97th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a a stellar 68.5% rate this year. Nick Richards has made 100.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league. Nick Richards has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games. This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense).

Nick Richards

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Nick Richards places in the 97th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a a stellar 68.5% rate this year. Nick Richards has made 100.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league. Nick Richards has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games. This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
+100

The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Hornets are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted an enormous 23.1 foul shots per game over the last 19 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Hornets are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted an enormous 23.1 foul shots per game over the last 19 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Kyle Lowry has sunk 57.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 14.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Kyle Lowry has sunk 43.2% of his three-point shots this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games on their home court. Kyle Lowry will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises player production across the board.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Kyle Lowry has sunk 57.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 14.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Kyle Lowry has sunk 43.2% of his three-point shots this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games on their home court. Kyle Lowry will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises player production across the board.

LaMelo Ball Points Scored Props • Charlotte

L. Ball
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

Out of all players in the league, LaMelo Ball registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games. This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). LaMelo Ball has converted an impressive 4.3 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.8 mark last season.

LaMelo Ball

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Out of all players in the league, LaMelo Ball registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games. This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). LaMelo Ball has converted an impressive 4.3 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.8 mark last season.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Charlotte

P. Washington
power forward PF • Charlotte
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has attempted 5.3 treys per game on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games. This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). P.J. Washington has converted 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 13.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing on the road. This year, opposing squads have attempted 20.8 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

P.J. Washington has attempted 5.3 treys per game on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games. This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). P.J. Washington has converted 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 13.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing on the road. This year, opposing squads have attempted 20.8 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Hornets are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted an enormous 23.1 foul shots per game over the last 19 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Hornets are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted an enormous 23.1 foul shots per game over the last 19 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-107

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 20.8 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 48.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 16.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season on his home court. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 37.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games on their home court. The matchup against Charlotte is a good one; when the Hornets are on the road, they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 5 games (22.3).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 20.8 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 48.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 16.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season on his home court. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 37.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games on their home court. The matchup against Charlotte is a good one; when the Hornets are on the road, they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 5 games (22.3).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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