Los Angeles 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
BSN, NBALP, TSN

Los Angeles @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Karl-Anthony Towns has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile). This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 27.2% on threes (14th-weakest in the NBA) against the Clippers, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves. The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Karl-Anthony Towns has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile). This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 27.2% on threes (14th-weakest in the NBA) against the Clippers, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves. The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Daniel Theis Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

D. Theis
power forward PF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Daniel Theis has converted 58.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. This year, opposing teams have scored 107.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Theis

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Daniel Theis has converted 58.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. This year, opposing teams have scored 107.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 51.4% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 26.3% more than he's converted overall this season. Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises player production across the board.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 51.4% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 26.3% more than he's converted overall this season. Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises player production across the board.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid rates in the 79th percentile for 3-pointers scored when playing at home, posting 1.9 per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing squads have compiled the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.1%). In contrast to last season's 66.9% clip, Naz Reid's free-throw effectiveness has increased this season to 80.2%. Naz Reid will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases player production for all stats.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid rates in the 79th percentile for 3-pointers scored when playing at home, posting 1.9 per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing squads have compiled the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.1%). In contrast to last season's 66.9% clip, Naz Reid's free-throw effectiveness has increased this season to 80.2%. Naz Reid will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases player production for all stats.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+102

The number of shots from downtown attempted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (2.8 per game) when on his home court and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Ivica Zubac has sunk 88.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing away from home.

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

The number of shots from downtown attempted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (2.8 per game) when on his home court and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Ivica Zubac has sunk 88.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing away from home.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Under
-140

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, making this a tough matchup for offensive output. The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves. The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Clippers (preserving possessions that can create added chances for offense).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, making this a tough matchup for offensive output. The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves. The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Clippers (preserving possessions that can create added chances for offense).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley ranks in the 93rd percentile for three-point ability on his home court with a an excellent 48.6% rate this year. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 5.1 more than he's tallied overall this year at home. With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Clippers are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 24th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.6%). Mike Conley has successfully made 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley ranks in the 93rd percentile for three-point ability on his home court with a an excellent 48.6% rate this year. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 5.1 more than he's tallied overall this year at home. With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Clippers are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 24th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.6%). Mike Conley has successfully made 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court.

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Under
-109

Among all players in the league, Paul George registers in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.9 fouls per game on the road this year. The Clippers rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Clippers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

Paul George

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Among all players in the league, Paul George registers in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.9 fouls per game on the road this year. The Clippers rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Clippers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Among all players in the league, James Harden ranks in the 83rd percentile, posting a whopping 17.1 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, James Harden places in the 93rd percentile for three-pointers sunk, logging 2.7 per game this year. Among all players in the league, James Harden measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game on the road this year. The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Among all players in the league, James Harden ranks in the 83rd percentile, posting a whopping 17.1 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, James Harden places in the 93rd percentile for three-pointers sunk, logging 2.7 per game this year. Among all players in the league, James Harden measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game on the road this year. The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Under
-109

Kawhi Leonard has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year. The Clippers rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (40.6%). The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Clippers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Kawhi Leonard has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year. The Clippers rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (40.6%). The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Clippers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-140

Terance Mann has successfully made 61.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 31.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Terance Mann has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 37.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season away from home. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Terance Mann

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Terance Mann has successfully made 61.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 31.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Terance Mann has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 37.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season away from home. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Clippers rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Clippers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves). Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have collected 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can generate additional chances for offense). This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted an enormous 25.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

Norman Powell

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

The Clippers rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Clippers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves). Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have collected 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can generate additional chances for offense). This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted an enormous 25.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing squads have compiled the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.1%). Kyle Anderson will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing squads have compiled the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.1%). Kyle Anderson will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 94th percentile for field goal efficiency with a an exceptional 63.7% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, opposing teams have averaged 35.6% on three-pointers (9th-weakest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, creating a challenging matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 90th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a monstrous 4.7 free throws per game at home this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 94th percentile for field goal efficiency with a an exceptional 63.7% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 50.0% field goal percentage playing at home rates 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, opposing teams have averaged 35.6% on three-pointers (9th-weakest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, creating a challenging matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 90th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a monstrous 4.7 free throws per game at home this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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