Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Philadelphia 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
TSN, NBATV, NBCSP, Space City Home Network

Houston @ Philadelphia props

Wells Fargo Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jeff Green registers in the 82nd percentile for field goal proficiency with a an outstanding 53.6% rate this year. Jeff Green has failed to make 0.8 3-point attempts per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 25th percentile for misses . This matchup is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Philadelphia 76ers are playing at home, the other team has shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (31.3%). The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 8thbest in in the league away from home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Jeff Green

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Out of all players in the league, Jeff Green registers in the 82nd percentile for field goal proficiency with a an outstanding 53.6% rate this year. Jeff Green has failed to make 0.8 3-point attempts per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 25th percentile for misses . This matchup is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Philadelphia 76ers are playing at home, the other team has shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (31.3%). The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 8thbest in in the league away from home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 1.8 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 30.8 minutes per game this year. The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 8thbest in in the league away from home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Dillon Brooks has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 1.8 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 30.8 minutes per game this year. The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 8thbest in in the league away from home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Dillon Brooks has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Harris
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Tobias Harris has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for overall this year. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on three-pointers (15th-worst in the league) against the Rockets, creating a difficult matchup. The Rockets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (maintaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

Tobias Harris

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Tobias Harris has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for overall this year. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on three-pointers (15th-worst in the league) against the Rockets, creating a difficult matchup. The Rockets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (maintaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

Nicolas Batum Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

N. Batum
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-138
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-138
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 37.5% clip, Nicolas Batum's scoring ability has increased this season to 55.0%. Nicolas Batum has made an impressive 48.5% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 34.0 rate last year. The matchup against Houston is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 76ers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage. The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nicolas Batum

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

In comparison to last season's 37.5% clip, Nicolas Batum's scoring ability has increased this season to 55.0%. Nicolas Batum has made an impressive 48.5% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 34.0 rate last year. The matchup against Houston is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 76ers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage. The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyrese Maxey Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Maxey
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Under
-117

Relative to last year's 3.7 rate, Tyrese Maxey's unsuccessful three-point shots have surged this year to 5.1 per game. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Rockets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (maintaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

Tyrese Maxey

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Relative to last year's 3.7 rate, Tyrese Maxey's unsuccessful three-point shots have surged this year to 5.1 per game. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Rockets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (maintaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-127

The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Philadelphia 76ers have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The faceoff with Joel Embiid as it relates to drawing fouls slots into the 10th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 2.6 foul shots per game this year. Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Philadelphia 76ers have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The faceoff with Joel Embiid as it relates to drawing fouls slots into the 10th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 2.6 foul shots per game this year. Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre Jr.
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 4.7 per game this year. The 76ers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage. The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Kelly Oubre Jr. is expected to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Among all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 4.7 per game this year. The 76ers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage. The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Kelly Oubre Jr. is expected to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jalen Green has attempted 13.8 shots from the field per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Green has attempted 8.2 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jalen Green has averaged 30.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile. Over the last 24 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 18.4 points per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Jalen Green

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Jalen Green has attempted 13.8 shots from the field per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Green has attempted 8.2 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jalen Green has averaged 30.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile. Over the last 24 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 18.4 points per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Philadelphia 76ers have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Philadelphia may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the 76ers are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets. The Philadelphia 76ers have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Philadelphia may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the 76ers are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA).

Joel Embiid Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

J. Embiid
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
33.2
Best Odds
Over
-119

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid slots into the 100th percentile, tallying a whopping 34.6 points per game this year. Joel Embiid has successfully made 51.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 11.7% more than he's converted from three overall this season playing at home. Among all players in the league, Joel Embiid comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.9 minutes per game playing at home this year. This year, opposing teams have shot 33.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, making this a tough matchup. The clash with Alperen Sengun registers in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs registering a colossal 17.4 points per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

Joel Embiid

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 33.2
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
33.2

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid slots into the 100th percentile, tallying a whopping 34.6 points per game this year. Joel Embiid has successfully made 51.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 11.7% more than he's converted from three overall this season playing at home. Among all players in the league, Joel Embiid comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.9 minutes per game playing at home this year. This year, opposing teams have shot 33.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, making this a tough matchup. The clash with Alperen Sengun registers in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs registering a colossal 17.4 points per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-114

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile. The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a good one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 22nd-highest three rate in the league this year (37.7%). The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 8thbest in in the league away from home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile. The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a good one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 22nd-highest three rate in the league this year (37.7%). The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 8thbest in in the league away from home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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