Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
NBCS - BA, BSN, Sportsnet, TNT

Golden State @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ziaire Williams Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Williams
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Ziaire Williams has successfully made 58.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 19.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while at home. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). Ziaire Williams has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on his home court. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (26th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Ziaire Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Ziaire Williams has successfully made 58.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 19.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while at home. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). Ziaire Williams has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on his home court. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (26th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Xavier Tillman Points Scored Props • Memphis

X. Tillman
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Xavier Tillman has sunk a measly 37.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable decrease from his 59.9 rate last year. The Grizzlies check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The rate of field goals scored against Kevon Looney has been very low (50.1%) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Xavier Tillman

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Xavier Tillman has sunk a measly 37.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable decrease from his 59.9 rate last year. The Grizzlies check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The rate of field goals scored against Kevon Looney has been very low (50.1%) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga has made 56.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 60.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 28.2% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing away from home. Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the league away from their home court with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Jonathan Kuminga has made 56.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 60.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 28.2% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing away from home. Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the league away from their home court with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 46.6% field goal percentage settles in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0). The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Warriors. Dario Saric is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats considering being on the road in this contest.

Dario Saric

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 46.6% field goal percentage settles in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0). The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Warriors. Dario Saric is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats considering being on the road in this contest.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has converted 80.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 18.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the league away from their home court with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kevon Looney

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.1

Kevon Looney has converted 80.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 18.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the league away from their home court with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 17.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 17.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 0.0 threes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA. As it relates to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 46.6% field goal percentage settles in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has tallied 14.5 three-pointers per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup. The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Warriors.

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 0.0 threes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA. As it relates to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 46.6% field goal percentage settles in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has tallied 14.5 three-pointers per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup. The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Warriors.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has made 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.0% more than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). Santi Aldama stands to see an increase in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Santi Aldama has made 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.0% more than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). Santi Aldama stands to see an increase in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 46.6% field goal percentage settles in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (9.9). The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Warriors. Klay Thompson should experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 46.6% field goal percentage settles in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (9.9). The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Warriors. Klay Thompson should experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 89th percentile for shots taken, posting 15.8 per game this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 26th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.4). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 89th percentile for shots taken, posting 15.8 per game this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 26th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.4). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Luke Kennard has sunk 52.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 11.8% more than he's made in all games this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). The matchup against Golden State is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 7.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting team (30th-most in the NBA). Luke Kennard should see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Luke Kennard

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Luke Kennard has sunk 52.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 11.8% more than he's made in all games this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). The matchup against Golden State is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 7.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting team (30th-most in the NBA). Luke Kennard should see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Memphis is a positive one; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (22.8). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the league away from their home court with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has made an impressive 5.4 free throws per game this year, a significant increase from his 4.4 mark last year.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Memphis is a positive one; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (22.8). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the league away from their home court with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has made an impressive 5.4 free throws per game this year, a significant increase from his 4.4 mark last year.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has made 6.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing away from home. The matchup against Memphis is a strong one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the league away from their home court with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Andrew Wiggins has made 6.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing away from home. The matchup against Memphis is a strong one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the league away from their home court with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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