Denver @ Boston picks

Peyton Watson has successfully made 42.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Peyton Watson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 35.7% more than he's sunk overall this season.

While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the NBA).

The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. Jamal Murray should suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of playing away from home in this contest.