Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
TSN

Milwaukee @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Killian Hayes Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Hayes
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive production. The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons. The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year. Killian Hayes has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Killian Hayes

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive production. The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons. The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year. Killian Hayes has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-124

As it relates to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 110.6 points per game playing at home measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. This year, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (saving possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

As it relates to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 110.6 points per game playing at home measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. This year, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (saving possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).

Kevin Knox II Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Knox II
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Kevin Knox II has successfully made 4.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home. Kevin Knox II has played 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's played overall this season. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, creating a good matchup. The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons. The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons.

Kevin Knox II

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Kevin Knox II has successfully made 4.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home. Kevin Knox II has played 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's played overall this season. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, creating a good matchup. The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons. The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton lands in the 80th percentile for shots hit, logging an enormous 5.5 per game this year. With respect to offense, the Bucks's impressive 126.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Detroit is a strong one; when the Pistons are playing at home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bucks.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton lands in the 80th percentile for shots hit, logging an enormous 5.5 per game this year. With respect to offense, the Bucks's impressive 126.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Detroit is a strong one; when the Pistons are playing at home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bucks.

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 6.0 clip, Bojan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 7.4 per game. Bojan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a strong one for scoring; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (7.0). The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons. The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons.

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

In contrast to last year's 6.0 clip, Bojan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 7.4 per game. Bojan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a strong one for scoring; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (7.0). The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons. The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Bobby Portis ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year. Over the last 25 games, their opposition has scored 126.1 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Pistons, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 26.7 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the league). Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance across the board.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Among all players in the league, Bobby Portis ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year. Over the last 25 games, their opposition has scored 126.1 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Pistons, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 26.7 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the league). Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance across the board.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

Jalen Duren has converted 72.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 29.4 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year, the other team has averaged 33.9% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a difficult matchup. The matchup against Brook Lopez is a positive one for shots from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 11.7 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile). The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Jalen Duren has converted 72.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 29.4 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year, the other team has averaged 33.9% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a difficult matchup. The matchup against Brook Lopez is a positive one for shots from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 11.7 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile). The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.3
Best Odds
Under
-125

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.0 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.3
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.3

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.0 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to offense, the Bucks's impressive 126.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have put up 21.2 points per game (29th-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bucks.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to offense, the Bucks's impressive 126.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have put up 21.2 points per game (29th-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bucks.

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson comes in at the 8th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a a subpar 10.4% rate this year. Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. As it relates to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 110.6 points per game playing at home measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. This year, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (saving possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense). Ausar Thompson has sunk 65.5% of his foul shot attempts at home this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the league.

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson comes in at the 8th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a a subpar 10.4% rate this year. Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. As it relates to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 110.6 points per game playing at home measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. This year, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (saving possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense). Ausar Thompson has sunk 65.5% of his foul shot attempts at home this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the league.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has converted 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. This year, the other team has averaged 33.9% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a difficult matchup. The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons. The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Alec Burks

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Alec Burks has converted 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. This year, the other team has averaged 33.9% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a difficult matchup. The 6th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pistons. The Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Brook Lopez has sunk 58.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's converted overall this season. Brook Lopez has averaged 29.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. With respect to offense, the Bucks's impressive 126.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The clash with Jalen Duren comes in at only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs scoring a colossal 16.4 points per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Brook Lopez has sunk 58.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's converted overall this season. Brook Lopez has averaged 29.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. With respect to offense, the Bucks's impressive 126.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The clash with Jalen Duren comes in at only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs scoring a colossal 16.4 points per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-103

Among all players in the league, Malik Beasley lands in the 95th percentile for three-point shots made, compiling 3.0 per game this year. Malik Beasley has played an impressive 29.3 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 23.6 minutes per game last season. With respect to offense, the Bucks's impressive 126.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bucks.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Among all players in the league, Malik Beasley lands in the 95th percentile for three-point shots made, compiling 3.0 per game this year. Malik Beasley has played an impressive 29.3 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 23.6 minutes per game last season. With respect to offense, the Bucks's impressive 126.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bucks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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