NY -2.5 o216.5
CHA 2.5 u216.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.0 o217.0
DET -3.0 u217.0
PHO 2.5 o222.0
LAL -2.5 u222.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
NBALP

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe has sunk 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while on the road. Among all players in the league, Isaiah Joe places in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, putting up only 1.2 fouls per game this year. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (107.4). The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Isaiah Joe has sunk 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while on the road. Among all players in the league, Isaiah Joe places in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, putting up only 1.2 fouls per game this year. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (107.4). The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Under
-120

The number of threes drained against Chet Holmgren has been very low (0.3 per game) when he is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 8.1 offensive boards per game this year. The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

The number of threes drained against Chet Holmgren has been very low (0.3 per game) when he is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 8.1 offensive boards per game this year. The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
+114
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
+114
Projection Rating

Cason Wallace has attempted 3.9 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (107.4). The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Cason Wallace has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's made overall this year while playing on the road.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Cason Wallace has attempted 3.9 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (107.4). The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Cason Wallace has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's made overall this year while playing on the road.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Josh Giddey has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 15.6% more than he's converted overall this season away from his home court.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Josh Giddey has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 15.6% more than he's converted overall this season away from his home court.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid places in the 81st percentile for three-point ability with a a great 39.7% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have shot 45.4% on field goals (weakest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup. The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). Naz Reid will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid places in the 81st percentile for three-point ability with a a great 39.7% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have shot 45.4% on field goals (weakest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup. The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). Naz Reid will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-130

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.1% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.1% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has converted 47.8% of his treys while on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games playing at home, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder).

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Mike Conley has converted 47.8% of his treys while on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games playing at home, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-106

Chet Holmgren has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). While on their home court, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren has converted 55.1% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 22.3% lower than he's sunk overall this year.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Chet Holmgren has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). While on their home court, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren has converted 55.1% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 22.3% lower than he's sunk overall this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 98th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a whopping 0.2 fouls per game this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on field goal attempts (15th-weakest in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 8.1 offensive boards per game this year. The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 98th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a whopping 0.2 fouls per game this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on field goal attempts (15th-weakest in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 8.1 offensive boards per game this year. The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jalen Williams has converted 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Jalen Williams has successfully made 66.2% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 18.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Jalen Williams has converted 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Jalen Williams has successfully made 66.2% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 18.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 92nd percentile for free throws sunk, logging a massive 4.1 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 92nd percentile for free throws sunk, logging a massive 4.1 per game this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-121

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 82nd percentile for field goal effectiveness with a an exceptional 52.5% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). Jaden McDaniels has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 82nd percentile for field goal effectiveness with a an exceptional 52.5% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). Jaden McDaniels has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 99th percentile, putting up an enormous 31.0 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 55.4% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (25th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.9
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 99th percentile, putting up an enormous 31.0 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 55.4% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to offense, the Thunder's excellent 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (25th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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