LIVE 06:02 1st Oct 6
DEN 14 2.5 o216.5
BOS 13 -2.5 u216.5
NY -4.5 o218.5
CHA 4.5 u218.5
WAS -3.5 o221.5
TOR 3.5 u221.5
MIL 1.0 o220.5
DET -1.0 u220.5
PHO 2.0 o223.0
LAL -2.0 u223.0
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Washington 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-67
MNMT, Altitude Sports

Denver @ Washington props

Capital One Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has converted 38.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.4% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year. The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Peyton Watson has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 35.7% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Peyton Watson has converted 38.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.4% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year. The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Peyton Watson has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 35.7% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.1 fouls per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have compiled 15.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The Washington Wizards will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Wizards have been poor at getting to the free-throw line while playing at home: worst in the NBA this year with a mere 18.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Jordan Poole

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.1 fouls per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have compiled 15.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The Washington Wizards will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Wizards have been poor at getting to the free-throw line while playing at home: worst in the NBA this year with a mere 18.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Marvin Bagley III Points Scored Props • Washington

M. Bagley III
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Marvin Bagley III has made a terrific 58.0% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 50.0 rate last season. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have tallied 30.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Marvin Bagley III figures to get a boost in effectiveness across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Marvin Bagley III

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Marvin Bagley III has made a terrific 58.0% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 50.0 rate last season. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have tallied 30.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Marvin Bagley III figures to get a boost in effectiveness across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-117

Compared to last season's 6.8 rate, Jamal Murray's 3-point attempts have been reduced this season to 5.6 per game. With respect to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's poor 111.6 points per game as the away team settles in as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road. This year, the other team has come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Wizards (retaining possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense). Jamal Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

Compared to last season's 6.8 rate, Jamal Murray's 3-point attempts have been reduced this season to 5.6 per game. With respect to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's poor 111.6 points per game as the away team settles in as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road. This year, the other team has come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Wizards (retaining possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense). Jamal Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Washington

T. Jones
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-106

Tyus Jones has sunk 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home. Tyus Jones has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (10th percentile). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Tyus Jones has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 27.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Tyus Jones

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Tyus Jones has sunk 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home. Tyus Jones has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (10th percentile). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Tyus Jones has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 27.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson has sunk 55.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year. The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 23.2% more than he's made in all games this year on the road.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Reggie Jackson has sunk 55.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year. The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 23.2% more than he's made in all games this year on the road.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-134

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 86th percentile. The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 86th percentile. The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Washington

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-125

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 22.2 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Kyle Kuzma has attempted 9.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 22.2 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Kyle Kuzma has attempted 9.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford registers in the 95th percentile for scoring prowess on his home court with a an impressive 66.2% rate this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have tallied 30.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.2 shots made from the field per game (97th percentile). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford registers in the 95th percentile for scoring prowess on his home court with a an impressive 66.2% rate this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have tallied 30.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.2 shots made from the field per game (97th percentile). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Avdija
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Deni Avdija has converted 60.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season at home. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Deni Avdija has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are away from home (21st-most in the league).

Deni Avdija

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Deni Avdija has converted 60.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season at home. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Deni Avdija has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are away from home (21st-most in the league).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has converted 71.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 10.6% more than he's made overall this year. Nikola Jokic has sunk 55.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 12.9% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The showdown with Daniel Gafford ranks in the 100th percentile with the other side's starting Cs sinking a massive 54.1% of their three-pointers this year. The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Nikola Jokic has converted 71.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 10.6% more than he's made overall this year. Nikola Jokic has sunk 55.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 12.9% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The showdown with Daniel Gafford ranks in the 100th percentile with the other side's starting Cs sinking a massive 54.1% of their three-pointers this year. The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets.

Corey Kispert Points Scored Props • Washington

C. Kispert
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Corey Kispert registers in the 82nd percentile for 3-point shots scored, logging 2.0 per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have tallied 30.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Corey Kispert has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Corey Kispert

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Corey Kispert registers in the 82nd percentile for 3-point shots scored, logging 2.0 per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have tallied 30.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Corey Kispert has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 63.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.7% more than he's made over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Washington is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Washington Wizards are at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 24th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (14.6). The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 63.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.7% more than he's made over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Washington is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Washington Wizards are at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 24th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (14.6). The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.4 3-pointers per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Washington is a good one for shots from the field; when the Washington Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 27th-highest FG% in the league this year (50.2%). The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.4 3-pointers per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Washington is a good one for shots from the field; when the Washington Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 27th-highest FG% in the league this year (50.2%). The Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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