Atlanta @ Sacramento picks

Trey Lyles has made 44.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Trey Lyles ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

Domantas Sabonis has posted 9.3 defensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile. Domantas Sabonis has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dejounte Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production for all stats.

Harrison Barnes has converted 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the season while at home. Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (55.3%). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks).