Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
BSN, Altitude Sports

Denver @ Indiana picks

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

DEN vs IND Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
B. Mathurin o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -125 bet365
Projection updated: 458 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -125
10.5 -105
10.5 -130
10.5 -105
10.5 -156
10.5 +114
10.5 -135
10.5 +105

Bennedict Mathurin has made 52.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.8% more than he's converted in all games this season when playing at home. Bennedict Mathurin has sunk 2.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year while playing at home. This matchup is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Nuggets are away from home, opposing clubs have totaled the 2nd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (30.4). The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Points Scored
P. Watson o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 458 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
6.5 +104
6.5 -128

Peyton Watson has converted 41.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 13.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year on the road. Peyton Watson has attempted 3.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing teams have tallied the fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.1). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 15thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Total Assists
B. Mathurin o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +150 bet365
Projection updated: 458 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +150
1.5 -185
1.5 +140
1.5 -190

The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Bennedict Mathurin will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Points Scored
K. Caldwell-Pope o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 11 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -132 fanduel
Projection updated: 458 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 +105
9.5 -135
9.5 -105
9.5 -125
9.5 -113
9.5 -118
9.5 +106
9.5 -145
9.5 -105
9.5 -125
8.5 -132
8.5 +108

Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.0). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 15thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope places in the 86th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness away from home with a a phenomenal 89.6% rate this year.

Points Scored
M. Turner o14.5 Points Scored
Projection 17 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -120 bet365
Projection updated: 458 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
14.5 -125
14.5 -105
15.5 -120
15.5 -112
14.5 -145
14.5 +106
14.5 -125
14.5 -105
15.5 -112
15.5 -108

Myles Turner has logged 17.2 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 84th percentile. Myles Turner has successfully made 52.3% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team has posted the 8th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (36.3%). The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a positive one for shots from the field; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 11.4 shots made from the field per game (93rd percentile). The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Points Scored
R. Jackson o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 458 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 -122
8.5 -109
8.5 -118
8.5 -118
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 -110
8.5 -110

Reggie Jackson has successfully made 55.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing teams have tallied the fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.1). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 15thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Reggie Jackson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 23.2% higher than he's made over the course of the year away from home.

Points Scored
T. Haliburton o18.5 Points Scored
Projection 21.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -118 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 459 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -120
19.5 -110
19.5 -125
19.5 -105
18.5 -118
18.5 -113
19.5 -128
19.5 -106
19.5 -125
19.5 -105
20.5 -102
20.5 -125

Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 8.4 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 7.2 mark last year. Tyrese Haliburton has played 32.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, posting only 1.2 fouls per game at home this year. The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Total Assists
T. Haliburton u12.5 Total Assists
Projection 11.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u12.5 -110 draftkings
Projection updated: 459 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -110
12.5 -120
12.5 -105
12.5 -125
11.5 -132
11.5 +100
12.5 -109
12.5 -125
12.5 -120
12.5 -110
12.5 -115
12.5 -111

The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Indiana Pacers. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have brought down 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (maintaining possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

Total Rebounds
J. Smith o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +110 bet365
Projection updated: 458 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 +110
4.5 -140
4.5 +110
4.5 -145
4.5 +110
4.5 -152
4.5 +105
4.5 -135

Jalen Smith has compiled 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard recently. The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jalen Smith stands to see a spike in performance in all facets of the game on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Total Rebounds
B. Mathurin o2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -115 draftkings
Projection updated: 458 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -115
2.5 -115
2.5 -120
2.5 -110
2.5 -115
2.5 -115

Bennedict Mathurin has posted 1.2 offensive boards per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category. The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Bennedict Mathurin will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance for all stats.

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