LIVE 08:53 4th Oct 6
DEN 88 2.5 o216.5
BOS 115 -2.5 u216.5
NY -2.5 o217.5
CHA 2.5 u217.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 2.5 o218.5
DET -2.5 u218.5
PHO 2.5 o221.0
LAL -2.5 u221.0
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
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Utah @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler has successfully made 80.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Walker Kessler has successfully made 66.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 39.4% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have put up the 3rd-lowest three rate in the league this year (34.4%). The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Walker Kessler has successfully made 80.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Walker Kessler has successfully made 66.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 39.4% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have put up the 3rd-lowest three rate in the league this year (34.4%). The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 66.7% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 38.4% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year at home. The number of shots converted against John Collins has been very high (5.7 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jonas Valanciunas has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 66.7% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 38.4% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year at home. The number of shots converted against John Collins has been very high (5.7 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jonas Valanciunas has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home.

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

With respect to offense, the Jazz's feeble 111.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 9th-worst in the league this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.4 3-point attempts per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, making this a difficult matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Utah Jazz. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). Lauri Markkanen will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

With respect to offense, the Jazz's feeble 111.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 9th-worst in the league this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.4 3-point attempts per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, making this a difficult matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Utah Jazz. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). Lauri Markkanen will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

Jordan Clarkson Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Clarkson
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Under
-103

With respect to offense, the Jazz's feeble 111.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 9th-worst in the league this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Utah Jazz. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). Jordan Clarkson ought to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Jordan Clarkson

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

With respect to offense, the Jazz's feeble 111.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 9th-worst in the league this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Utah Jazz. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). Jordan Clarkson ought to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-121

CJ McCollum has attempted 14.9 field goals per game while at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. CJ McCollum has sunk 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year playing at home. CJ McCollum has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

CJ McCollum has attempted 14.9 field goals per game while at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. CJ McCollum has sunk 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year playing at home. CJ McCollum has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-108

Collin Sexton has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season. With respect to offense, the Jazz's feeble 111.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 9th-worst in the league this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Utah Jazz. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Collin Sexton

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Collin Sexton has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season. With respect to offense, the Jazz's feeble 111.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 9th-worst in the league this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Utah Jazz. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Utah

S. Fontecchio
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
+100

Among all players in the league, Simone Fontecchio rates in the 84th percentile for 3-point prowess with a a terrific 40.3% rate this year. Simone Fontecchio has been on the court for 27.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Simone Fontecchio has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Simone Fontecchio

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Among all players in the league, Simone Fontecchio rates in the 84th percentile for 3-point prowess with a a terrific 40.3% rate this year. Simone Fontecchio has been on the court for 27.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Simone Fontecchio has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has successfully made 52.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 11 games on the road, 15.7% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing on the road. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a good one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.1 foul shots per game this year (23rd-most in the league).

Kris Dunn

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.8

Kris Dunn has successfully made 52.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 11 games on the road, 15.7% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing on the road. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a good one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.1 foul shots per game this year (23rd-most in the league).

Jordan Hawkins Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Hawkins
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Hawkins registers in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, posting a massive 0.1 fouls per game on his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 12.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz (continuing possessions that can create additional chances for offense).

Jordan Hawkins

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Hawkins registers in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, posting a massive 0.1 fouls per game on his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 12.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz (continuing possessions that can create additional chances for offense).

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

Herbert Jones has sunk 59.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 10.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Herbert Jones has sunk 58.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 22.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. The matchup against the Jazz is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.0). The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Herbert Jones has sunk 59.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 10.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Herbert Jones has sunk 58.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 22.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. The matchup against the Jazz is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.0). The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-118

John Collins has successfully made 59.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.5% higher than he's made overall this season. The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). John Collins has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.4% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have attempted 19.4 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

John Collins

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

John Collins has successfully made 59.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.5% higher than he's made overall this season. The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). John Collins has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.4% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have attempted 19.4 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Trey Murphy III has tallied a mere 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.0 fouls per game last year. The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Jazz, struggling to get to the foul line.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Trey Murphy III has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Trey Murphy III has tallied a mere 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.0 fouls per game last year. The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Jazz, struggling to get to the foul line.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Zion Williamson has made 100.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 56.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Zion Williamson has played 29.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Zion Williamson has made 100.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 56.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Zion Williamson has played 29.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, making this a positive matchup. The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Brandon Ingram has made 5.6 free throws per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, making this a positive matchup. The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the league at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Brandon Ingram has made 5.6 free throws per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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