BOS -5.0 o199.5
ORL 5.0 u199.5
IND 5.0 o229.5
MIL -5.0 u229.5
LAL 3.5 o208.0
MIN -3.5 u208.0
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBALP

Memphis @ Miami picks

Kaseya Center

MEM vs MIA Picks

NBA Picks
3-Pointers Made
T. Rozier o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +160 betmgm
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -125
1.5 -105
1.5 +160
1.5 -225
1.5 -127
1.5 -105
1.5 -132
1.5 -104
1.5 -125
1.5 -105
1.5 -113
1.5 -113

Terry Rozier has successfully made 48.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Terry Rozier has attempted 7.7 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Points Scored
J. Richardson u9.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u9.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
9.5 -120
9.5 -115
9.5 +100
9.5 -137
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
9.5 -110
9.5 -110

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson measures in the 89th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 4.3 field goals per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a hard matchup. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
D. Roddy u14.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u14.5 -120 bet365
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -110
14.5 -120
14.5 -105
14.5 -125
14.5 -103
14.5 -133
14.5 -105
14.5 -125
14.5 -102
14.5 -120

David Roddy has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the NBA). David Roddy is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Points Scored
C. Martin o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 +105 draftkings
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 +100
7.5 -130
7.5 +105
7.5 -140
8.5 -125
8.5 -109
7.5 +105
7.5 -135
7.5 +100
7.5 -122

Caleb Martin has made 50.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Total Rebounds
J. Richardson u2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 2.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 +140 bet365
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -170
2.5 +140
2.5 -175
2.5 +130
2.5 -179
2.5 +129
2.5 -166
2.5 +130
2.5 -144
2.5 +118

Josh Richardson has averaged 0.3 offensive boards per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile -- near the bottom of the league by this metric. Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson measures in the 89th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Total Rebounds
D. Roddy u5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 +105 draftkings
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -135
5.5 +105
5.5 -140
5.5 +105
5.5 -132
5.5 -104
5.5 -135
5.5 +105
5.5 -118
5.5 -104

David Roddy has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). David Roddy is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this game.

3-Pointers Made
J. Richardson u1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 +100 betmgm
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -125
1.5 -105
1.5 -130
1.5 +100
1.5 -127
1.5 -108
1.5 -125
1.5 -105

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson measures in the 89th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 12th-least treys per game in the league this year (1.7). The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
J. Konchar o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 6.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 +112 fanduel
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -120
5.5 -110
5.5 -118
5.5 -118
5.5 +112
5.5 -138

Out of all players in the NBA, John Konchar measures in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, totaling only 1.2 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Total Rebounds
C. Martin o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -140 fanduel
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -155
3.5 +125
3.5 -160
3.5 +120
3.5 -179
3.5 +129
3.5 -150
3.5 +120
3.5 -140
3.5 +114

Caleb Martin has posted 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the league by this metric in recent games: 80th percentile. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Caleb Martin figures to see a spike in output in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
K. Love o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 6.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -110
5.5 -120
6.5 +105
6.5 -135
6.5 +108
6.5 -132

Kevin Love has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has attempted 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.

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