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BK 83 3.5 u226.0
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MIA 132 -3.5 u217.0
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Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBALP, NBCS - BA

Atlanta @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has successfully made 40.0% of his 3-point attempts playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 21.0 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line. Draymond Green stands to see a rise in output in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Draymond Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Draymond Green has successfully made 40.0% of his 3-point attempts playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 21.0 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line. Draymond Green stands to see a rise in output in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 10.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 21.0 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line. Brandin Podziemski will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to increase player production for all stats.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 10.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 21.0 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line. Brandin Podziemski will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to increase player production for all stats.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on the road. The matchup against the Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (25th-most in the NBA).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on the road. The matchup against the Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (25th-most in the NBA).

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu measures in the 90th percentile for scoring prowess with a a stellar 59.7% rate this year. Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 18.9% more than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing away from home. The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu measures in the 90th percentile for scoring prowess with a a stellar 59.7% rate this year. Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 18.9% more than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing away from home. The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

Compared to last year's 10.2 clip, Stephen Curry's shots made have diminished this year to 8.5 per game. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry places in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. In regard to offense, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 46.0% field goal percentage as the home team places 4th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing squads have nabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Hawks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Compared to last year's 10.2 clip, Stephen Curry's shots made have diminished this year to 8.5 per game. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry places in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. In regard to offense, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 46.0% field goal percentage as the home team places 4th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing squads have nabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Hawks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has made 84.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 21.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup with Clint Capela in regard to drawing fouls places in just the 83rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year. Kevon Looney will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost stat production across the board.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Kevon Looney has made 84.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 21.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup with Clint Capela in regard to drawing fouls places in just the 83rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year. Kevon Looney will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost stat production across the board.

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In regard to offense, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 46.0% field goal percentage as the home team places 4th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing squads have nabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). The number of fouls drawn by other starting PFs vs. Jalen Johnson has been remarkably low this year (3.0 free throw attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 21st percentile).

Dario Saric

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

In regard to offense, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 46.0% field goal percentage as the home team places 4th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing squads have nabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). The number of fouls drawn by other starting PFs vs. Jalen Johnson has been remarkably low this year (3.0 free throw attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 21st percentile).

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jalen Johnson has compiled a terrific 14.9 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 5.6 points per game last year. Relative to last year's 0.4 clip, Jalen Johnson's three-pointers scored have jumped this year to 1.1 per game. Jalen Johnson has averaged 31.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Jalen Johnson has compiled a terrific 14.9 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 5.6 points per game last year. Relative to last year's 0.4 clip, Jalen Johnson's three-pointers scored have jumped this year to 1.1 per game. Jalen Johnson has averaged 31.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Hawks rank as the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (continuing possessions that can produce extra chances for offense). Dejounte Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance for all stats.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

The Hawks rank as the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (continuing possessions that can produce extra chances for offense). Dejounte Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance for all stats.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-104

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Saddiq Bey places in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Saddiq Bey places in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
+110

In comparison to last year's 3.0 mark, Andrew Wiggins's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 2.3. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a strong one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (55.3%). The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Andrew Wiggins will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production across the board.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

In comparison to last year's 3.0 mark, Andrew Wiggins's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 2.3. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a strong one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (55.3%). The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Andrew Wiggins will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production across the board.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

Out of all players in the league, Clint Capela comes in at the 4th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a a weak 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Clint Capela lands in the 6th percentile for three-point attempts away from his home court, averaging 0.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Clint Capela places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Hawks rank as the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (continuing possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Out of all players in the league, Clint Capela comes in at the 4th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a a weak 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Clint Capela lands in the 6th percentile for three-point attempts away from his home court, averaging 0.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Clint Capela places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Hawks rank as the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (continuing possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has attempted 10.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Klay Thompson has converted 97.0% of his free throw attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Klay Thompson has attempted 10.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Klay Thompson has converted 97.0% of his free throw attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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