NY -2.5 o215.5
CHA 2.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 2.5 o217.0
DET -2.5 u217.0
PHO 2.5 o221.0
LAL -2.5 u221.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
NBALP

Sacramento @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-111
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-111
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden Hardy registers in the 14th percentile for shooting prowess with a a weak 36.3% rate this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 84.0% rate, Jaden Hardy's foul-shot effectiveness has been reduced this year to 60.0%.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden Hardy registers in the 14th percentile for shooting prowess with a a weak 36.3% rate this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 84.0% rate, Jaden Hardy's foul-shot effectiveness has been reduced this year to 60.0%.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has made 68.8% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense). Dereck Lively II will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Dereck Lively II has made 68.8% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense). Dereck Lively II will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 10.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 6.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 10.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 6.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has sunk 43.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 9.9% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 11thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Trey Lyles has sunk 43.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 9.9% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 11thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Kevin Huerter has posted 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 more than he's posted over the course of the season. Kevin Huerter has made 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Kevin Huerter has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Kevin Huerter has posted 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 more than he's posted over the course of the season. Kevin Huerter has made 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Kevin Huerter has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Kings. The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis has made just 63.3% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 73.9 rate last season. As it relates to drawing fouls, the Kings's poor 19.8 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Kings. The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis has made just 63.3% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 73.9 rate last season. As it relates to drawing fouls, the Kings's poor 19.8 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Over
-112

In contrast to last season's 18.7 clip, De'Aaron Fox's field goal attempts have spiked this season to 20.8 per game. De'Aaron Fox has played 35.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 11thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

In contrast to last season's 18.7 clip, De'Aaron Fox's field goal attempts have spiked this season to 20.8 per game. De'Aaron Fox has played 35.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 11thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kyrie Irving has registered 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.9 higher than he's registered over the course of the year at home. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Kyrie Irving has played 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive production.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Kyrie Irving has registered 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.9 higher than he's registered over the course of the year at home. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Kyrie Irving has played 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive production.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
38.5
Points Scored
Projection
37.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
38.5 Points Scored
Projection
37.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (100th percentile). The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (15.2). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are the visiting team (8th-least in the NBA).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 38.5 Points Scored
Projection: 37.9
Prop:
38.5 Points Scored
Projection:
37.9

Luka Doncic has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (100th percentile). The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (15.2). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are the visiting team (8th-least in the NBA).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has attempted 14.4 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Compared to last year's 1.9 rate, Malik Monk's 3-pointers made have surged this year to 2.4 per game. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 11thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Malik Monk has attempted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Malik Monk

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Malik Monk has attempted 14.4 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Compared to last year's 1.9 rate, Malik Monk's 3-pointers made have surged this year to 2.4 per game. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 11thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Malik Monk has attempted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

In contrast to last year's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots from the field have jumped this year to 13.1 per game. Keegan Murray has attempted 6.1 three-pointers per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

In contrast to last year's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots from the field have jumped this year to 13.1 per game. Keegan Murray has attempted 6.1 three-pointers per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-121

Josh Green has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Josh Green has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.3). The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Josh Green

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Josh Green has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Josh Green has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.3). The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-103

Harrison Barnes has converted 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 11thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. The matchup against Dallas may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are at home (23rd-most in the NBA).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Harrison Barnes has converted 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 11thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. The matchup against Dallas may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are at home (23rd-most in the NBA).

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shots from the field (25th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, creating a favorable matchup. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense). Grant Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 31.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Grant Williams

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shots from the field (25th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, creating a favorable matchup. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense). Grant Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 31.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense). Maxi Kleber has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Maxi Kleber ought to get a boost in performance for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

The Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense). Maxi Kleber has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Maxi Kleber ought to get a boost in performance for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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