Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
BSN

Dallas @ Minnesota picks

Target Center

DAL vs MIN Picks

NBA Picks
Total Rebounds
R. Holmes u5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 -108 fanduel
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -123
5.5 -111
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -112
5.5 -108

Richaun Holmes has been on the court for 12.4 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Richaun Holmes is expected to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Points Scored
R. Holmes u6.5 Points Scored
Projection 4.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -120
6.5 -114
6.5 -120
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -110
6.5 -110

Richaun Holmes has been on the court for 12.4 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Relative to last season's 77.5% clip, Richaun Holmes's free-throw efficiency has been reduced this season to 47.6%.

Total Assists
J. McDaniels o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +195 bet365
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +195
1.5 -245
1.5 +185
1.5 -250
1.5 +178
1.5 -256

The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Total Assists
J. Hardy u4.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 +116 fanduel
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -140
4.5 +110
4.5 -145
4.5 +110
4.5 -145
4.5 +106
4.5 -135
4.5 +105
4.5 -142
4.5 +116

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Jaden Hardy will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
N. Alexander-Walker o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -120
5.5 -110
6.5 -114
6.5 -106

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted in all games this year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 50.0% higher than he's sunk overall this year on his home court.

Points Scored
N. Reid o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
9.5 -127
9.5 -105
9.5 -137
9.5 +100
9.5 -135
9.5 +105
10.5 +104
10.5 -128

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid places in the 82nd percentile for three-point performance with a an impressive 39.8% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 22.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Naz Reid will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
T. Hardaway Jr. o23.5 Points Scored
Projection 25.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o23.5 +105 draftkings
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
23.5 -115
23.5 -115
23.5 -120
23.5 -110
23.5 -104
23.5 -129
23.5 -132
23.5 -104
23.5 +105
23.5 -135
23.5 -110
23.5 -110

Tim Hardaway Jr. has put up 22.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the year. In comparison to last year's 7.8 mark, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 8.9 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Points Scored
J. Hardy u18.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u18.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
17.5 -110
17.5 -120
17.5 -105
17.5 -125
17.5 -137
17.5 +100
17.5 -120
17.5 -110
18.5 -110
18.5 -110

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Jaden Hardy has successfully made a measly 60.0% of his free throws this year, significantly less than his 84.0 mark last year.

3-Pointers Made
T. Hardaway Jr. o3.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 4.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -105 draftkings
Projection updated: 450 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -120
3.5 -110
3.5 -125
3.5 -105
3.5 -117
3.5 -114
3.5 -127
3.5 -108
3.5 -105
3.5 -125
3.5 -120
3.5 -106

In comparison to last year's 7.8 mark, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 8.9 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

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