Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
NBCSCA, BSN, NBALP

Sacramento @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

T.J. McConnell has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this year at home. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting team, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (15.2). As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games, tallying a lowly 16.0 free throw attempts per game. The matchup against Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are the visiting team (8th-least in the NBA).

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.2

T.J. McConnell has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this year at home. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting team, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (15.2). As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games, tallying a lowly 16.0 free throw attempts per game. The matchup against Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are the visiting team (8th-least in the NBA).

Isaiah Jackson Points Scored Props • Indiana

I. Jackson
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 16.7% clip, Isaiah Jackson's three-point ability has decreased this year to 0.0%. Isaiah Jackson has attempted 0.2 3-point shots per game while at home this year, ranking in the 11th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Jackson comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game at home this year. This matchup is a positive one for scoring; opposing teams have posted the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (48.4%). The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a hard one; he has given up just 10.9 points per game while playing away from home when facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

Isaiah Jackson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Compared to last year's 16.7% clip, Isaiah Jackson's three-point ability has decreased this year to 0.0%. Isaiah Jackson has attempted 0.2 3-point shots per game while at home this year, ranking in the 11th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Jackson comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game at home this year. This matchup is a positive one for scoring; opposing teams have posted the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (48.4%). The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a hard one; he has given up just 10.9 points per game while playing away from home when facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games, tallying a lowly 16.0 free throw attempts per game.

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games, tallying a lowly 16.0 free throw attempts per game.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 1stbest in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, opposing teams have snagged 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in further opportunities for offense). Tyrese Haliburton has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while playing at home.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 1stbest in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, opposing teams have snagged 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in further opportunities for offense). Tyrese Haliburton has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while playing at home.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

The fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 1stbest in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, opposing teams have snagged 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in further opportunities for offense). Buddy Hield will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 1stbest in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, opposing teams have snagged 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in further opportunities for offense). Buddy Hield will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Myles Turner has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. This matchup is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Kings are on the road (37.7). As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games, tallying a lowly 16.0 free throw attempts per game. This matchup is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 23.2 free throws per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

Myles Turner

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Myles Turner has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. This matchup is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Kings are on the road (37.7). As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games, tallying a lowly 16.0 free throw attempts per game. This matchup is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 23.2 free throws per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kevin Huerter has sunk 5.4 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Kevin Huerter has successfully made 2.9 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Kevin Huerter has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 8.2 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0). The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Kevin Huerter has sunk 5.4 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Kevin Huerter has successfully made 2.9 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Kevin Huerter has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 8.2 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0). The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-195

Harrison Barnes has compiled 22.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.6 higher than he's compiled in all games this year. Harrison Barnes has attempted 8.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Harrison Barnes has averaged 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.1 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Harrison Barnes has compiled 22.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.6 higher than he's compiled in all games this year. Harrison Barnes has attempted 8.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Harrison Barnes has averaged 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.1 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Malik Monk has attempted 5.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Malik Monk has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Malik Monk

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Malik Monk has attempted 5.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Malik Monk has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-162

Keegan Murray has sunk 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from three overall this season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the NBA).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Keegan Murray has sunk 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from three overall this season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the NBA).

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-109

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 57.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season playing at home. Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Aaron Nesmith has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's played overall this season. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.3). The fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 57.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season playing at home. Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Aaron Nesmith has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's played overall this season. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.3). The fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Over
-136

Domantas Sabonis has made 72.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 25.2% higher than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game on the road this year. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Domantas Sabonis has made 72.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 25.2% higher than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game on the road this year. The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-112

Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam slots into the 94th percentile for shots converted, registering a whopping 8.4 per game this year. Pascal Siakam has sunk 49.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 17.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Pascal Siakam has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (25th-best in the league) against the Kings, creating a favorable matchup. The fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam slots into the 94th percentile for shots converted, registering a whopping 8.4 per game this year. Pascal Siakam has sunk 49.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 17.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Pascal Siakam has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (25th-best in the league) against the Kings, creating a favorable matchup. The fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.6 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against Indiana may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.6 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against Indiana may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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