NY -2.5 o215.5
CHA 2.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.0 o217.0
DET -3.0 u217.0
PHO 2.0 o221.0
LAL -2.0 u221.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
BSN

Orlando @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Alec Burks has sunk 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Alec Burks has been on the court for 25.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing teams have grabbed 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Alec Burks

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Alec Burks has sunk 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Alec Burks has been on the court for 25.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing teams have grabbed 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Jalen Suggs Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Suggs
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-106

Jalen Suggs has sunk 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while on the road. The Orlando Magic are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, their opposition has brought down 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pistons (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (29th-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Jalen Suggs

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Jalen Suggs has sunk 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while on the road. The Orlando Magic are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, their opposition has brought down 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pistons (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense). Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (29th-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0). The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games. Paolo Banchero will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0). The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games. Paolo Banchero will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Under
-130

Out of all players in the league, Cade Cunningham slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.8 fouls per game at home this year. In regard to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 112.4 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 6th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Magic have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Pistons. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Out of all players in the league, Cade Cunningham slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.8 fouls per game at home this year. In regard to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 112.4 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 6th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Magic have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Pistons. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Markelle Fultz Points Scored Props • Orlando

M. Fultz
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-115

In contrast to last season's 26.2% rate, Markelle Fultz's three-point performance has been reduced this season to 0.0%. The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games. Markelle Fultz has sunk a mere 50.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 78.1 mark last season. Markelle Fultz will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

Markelle Fultz

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

In contrast to last season's 26.2% rate, Markelle Fultz's three-point performance has been reduced this season to 0.0%. The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games. Markelle Fultz has sunk a mere 50.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 78.1 mark last season. Markelle Fultz will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jaden Ivey has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 4.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jaden Ivey has sunk 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one; when the Magic are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (20.2). The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Jaden Ivey has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 4.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jaden Ivey has sunk 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one; when the Magic are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (20.2). The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Franz Wagner has successfully made 8.4 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this year while playing on the road. Franz Wagner has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.9% more than he's made over the course of the season away from home. Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. Over the last 16 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have averaged 19.5 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency. The Orlando Magic are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Franz Wagner

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Franz Wagner has successfully made 8.4 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this year while playing on the road. Franz Wagner has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.9% more than he's made over the course of the season away from home. Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. Over the last 16 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have averaged 19.5 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency. The Orlando Magic are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-102

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 29.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a strong one; he has given up a whopping 16.9 points per game when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing teams have grabbed 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Jalen Duren

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 29.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a strong one; he has given up a whopping 16.9 points per game when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing teams have grabbed 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Kevin Knox II Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Knox II
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

In regard to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 112.4 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 6th-fewest in the league this year. The matchup against Orlando is a difficult one; when the Magic are away from home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1). The Magic have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Pistons. The matchup vs. Orlando may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Orlando Magic are on the road (11th-least in the league).

Kevin Knox II

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

In regard to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 112.4 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 6th-fewest in the league this year. The matchup against Orlando is a difficult one; when the Magic are away from home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1). The Magic have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Pistons. The matchup vs. Orlando may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Orlando Magic are on the road (11th-least in the league).

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic lands in the 81st percentile for technical fouls, totaling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while playing at home this year. In regard to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 112.4 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 6th-fewest in the league this year. The Magic have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Pistons.

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Out of all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic lands in the 81st percentile for technical fouls, totaling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while playing at home this year. In regard to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's lackluster 112.4 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 6th-fewest in the league this year. The Magic have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Pistons.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter Jr.
center C • Orlando
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 57.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season while on the road. Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 56.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 14.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season on the road. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a strong one; he has given up a massive 16.2 points per game on his home court when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (86th percentile). The Orlando Magic are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Wendell Carter Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 57.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season while on the road. Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 56.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 14.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season on the road. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a strong one; he has given up a massive 16.2 points per game on his home court when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (86th percentile). The Orlando Magic are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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