NY -2.5 o216.5
CHA 2.5 u216.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 2.5 o217.0
DET -2.5 u217.0
PHO 2.0 o222.0
LAL -2.0 u222.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
BSN, KJZZ

Milwaukee @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has successfully made 44.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Milwaukee Bucks. The matchup vs. John Collins is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when Collins is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.8 free throws per game (97th percentile).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Bobby Portis has successfully made 44.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Milwaukee Bucks. The matchup vs. John Collins is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when Collins is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.8 free throws per game (97th percentile).

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has put up 12.6 points per game over the last 11 games playing at home, 8.3 higher than he's put up in all games this year at home. Kris Dunn has tallied 26.2 minutes per game over the last 11 games at home, 11.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have logged 21.7 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Kris Dunn

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Kris Dunn has put up 12.6 points per game over the last 11 games playing at home, 8.3 higher than he's put up in all games this year at home. Kris Dunn has tallied 26.2 minutes per game over the last 11 games at home, 11.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have logged 21.7 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Utah

S. Fontecchio
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
+100

Simone Fontecchio has successfully made a terrific 40.3% of his three-pointers this year, a sizeable increase from his 30.7 mark last year. Simone Fontecchio has averaged 27.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 4.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a good one for scoring; when the Milwaukee Bucks are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0). The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Simone Fontecchio

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Simone Fontecchio has successfully made a terrific 40.3% of his three-pointers this year, a sizeable increase from his 30.7 mark last year. Simone Fontecchio has averaged 27.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 4.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a good one for scoring; when the Milwaukee Bucks are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0). The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
35.5
Points Scored
Projection
33
Best Odds
Under
-122

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Utah Jazz have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Giannis Antetokounmpo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 35.5 Points Scored
Projection: 33
Prop:
35.5 Points Scored
Projection:
33

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Utah Jazz have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Giannis Antetokounmpo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

John Collins has converted 60.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.6% higher than he's made in all games this year. The number of field goal attempts against Bobby Portis has been quite high (12.3 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Collins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

John Collins has converted 60.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.6% higher than he's made in all games this year. The number of field goal attempts against Bobby Portis has been quite high (12.3 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jae Crowder has converted an impressive 41.0% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.7 mark last year. Relative to last year's 17.3 rate, Jae Crowder's playing time has surged this year to 22.6 minutes per game. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.4 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz, identifying this as a good matchup. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

Jae Crowder

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Jae Crowder has converted an impressive 41.0% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.7 mark last year. Relative to last year's 17.3 rate, Jae Crowder's playing time has surged this year to 22.6 minutes per game. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.4 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz, identifying this as a good matchup. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-113

Damian Lillard has posted a measly 25.2 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 32.2 points per game last year. Relative to last season's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have declined this season to 8.5 per game. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, labeling this as a challenging matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Utah Jazz have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Damian Lillard has posted a measly 25.2 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 32.2 points per game last year. Relative to last season's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have declined this season to 8.5 per game. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, labeling this as a challenging matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Utah Jazz have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Brook Lopez has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Brook Lopez has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler has sunk 77.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing teams have captured 8.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Walker Kessler has sunk 77.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing teams have captured 8.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense).

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Lauri Markkanen has successfully made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Lauri Markkanen has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 24th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Lauri Markkanen has successfully made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Lauri Markkanen has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 24th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Pat Connaughton has sunk 45.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Milwaukee Bucks. Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

Pat Connaughton has sunk 45.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Milwaukee Bucks. Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-102

Malik Beasley has successfully made a whopping 42.7% of his 3-pointers this year, a big improvement over his 33.6 rate last year. Malik Beasley has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year on the road. Malik Beasley has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.1 lower than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have totaled 7.3 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Malik Beasley has successfully made a whopping 42.7% of his 3-pointers this year, a big improvement over his 33.6 rate last year. Malik Beasley has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year on the road. Malik Beasley has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.1 lower than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have totaled 7.3 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Jordan Clarkson Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Clarkson
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jordan Clarkson registers in the 89th percentile for field goal attempts, putting up 15.2 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jordan Clarkson measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.2 minutes per game this year. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jordan Clarkson

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Among all players in the league, Jordan Clarkson registers in the 89th percentile for field goal attempts, putting up 15.2 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jordan Clarkson measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.2 minutes per game this year. The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home. The Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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