NY -2.5 o215.5
CHA 2.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.0 o217.0
DET -3.0 u217.0
PHO 2.0 o220.0
LAL -2.0 u220.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Philadelphia 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
TSN, BSN, NBCSP

Dallas @ Philadelphia props

Wells Fargo Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Paul Reed Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

P. Reed
power forward PF • Philadelphia
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Paul Reed has sunk 4.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's made in all games this season. Paul Reed has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Paul Reed will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Paul Reed

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Paul Reed has sunk 4.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's made in all games this season. Paul Reed has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Paul Reed will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Danuel House Jr. Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

D. House Jr.
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Danuel House Jr. has made 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year. Danuel House Jr. should see an increase in output in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Danuel House Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Danuel House Jr. has made 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year. Danuel House Jr. should see an increase in output in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Harris
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris comes in at the 77th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. This year, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Tobias Harris

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris comes in at the 77th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. This year, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Tyrese Maxey Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Maxey
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
30
Best Odds
Over
-120

Tyrese Maxey has attempted 19.9 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 15.6 rate last year. Tyrese Maxey has averaged 37.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Tyrese Maxey

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30

Tyrese Maxey has attempted 19.9 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 15.6 rate last year. Tyrese Maxey has averaged 37.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court, their opposition has compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.0%). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. Grant Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 29.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Grant Williams

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court, their opposition has compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.0%). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. Grant Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 29.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kyrie Irving has totaled 30.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Kyrie Irving has played 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a favorable one; when the 76ers are at home, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 24 games (18.4).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Kyrie Irving has totaled 30.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Kyrie Irving has played 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a favorable one; when the 76ers are at home, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 24 games (18.4).

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre Jr.
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-125

Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup. The rate of shots made against Kyrie Irving has been very high (49.3%) when he is on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting SGs this year (83rd percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup. The rate of shots made against Kyrie Irving has been very high (49.3%) when he is on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting SGs this year (83rd percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 8.9 treys per game this year, significantly more than his 7.8 rate last year. Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 34.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court, their opposition has compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.0%). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 8.9 treys per game this year, significantly more than his 7.8 rate last year. Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 34.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court, their opposition has compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.0%). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
34.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
34.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has attempted 24.1 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 22.0 rate last year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 8.2 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 36.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 37.7% on threes (22nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, identifying this as a good matchup.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 34.7
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
34.7

Luka Doncic has attempted 24.1 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 22.0 rate last year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 8.2 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 36.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 37.7% on threes (22nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, identifying this as a good matchup.

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Maxi Kleber rates in the 96th percentile for 3-point proficiency without the home court advantage with a an exceptional 60.0% rate this year. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court, their opposition has compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.0%). The matchup vs. Paul Reed is a good one for field goal attempts; when Reed is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 11.7 field goals per game (96th percentile). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Out of all players in the league, Maxi Kleber rates in the 96th percentile for 3-point proficiency without the home court advantage with a an exceptional 60.0% rate this year. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court, their opposition has compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.0%). The matchup vs. Paul Reed is a good one for field goal attempts; when Reed is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 11.7 field goals per game (96th percentile). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Josh Green has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Josh Green has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

Josh Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Josh Green has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Josh Green has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's outstanding 119.6 points per game comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-133
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-133
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the 76ers). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the 76ers (maintaining possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense). The matchup against Philadelphia may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the 76ers). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the 76ers (maintaining possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense). The matchup against Philadelphia may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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