LIVE 03:46 1st Oct 6
NY 12 -3.5 o215.5
CHA 20 3.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.0 o217.0
DET -3.0 u217.0
PHO 2.0 o221.0
LAL -2.0 u221.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
BSN, NBALP, NBCSB

Atlanta @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has converted 38.7% of his 3-point shots this year, placing him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.9% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Payton Pritchard will likely see a rise in productivity across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Payton Pritchard has converted 38.7% of his 3-point shots this year, placing him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.9% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Payton Pritchard will likely see a rise in productivity across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-129

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 81.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 19.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. This matchup is a difficult one; when the Celtics are on their home court, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (108.7). When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Al Horford ranks in the 86th percentile with an enormous 2.1 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 81.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 19.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. This matchup is a difficult one; when the Celtics are on their home court, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (108.7). When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Al Horford ranks in the 86th percentile with an enormous 2.1 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Sam Hauser has made 45.8% of his three-pointers with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Sam Hauser has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Sam Hauser will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production for all stats.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Sam Hauser has made 45.8% of his three-pointers with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Sam Hauser has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Sam Hauser will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production for all stats.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

Kristaps Porzingis has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one; when the Hawks are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (21.1). The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Kristaps Porzingis has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one; when the Hawks are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (21.1). The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 32.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on his home court. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 32.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on his home court. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Al Horford has successfully made 41.4% of his 3-point shots while playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Al Horford comes in at the 82nd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a a phenomenal 85.7% rate this year. Al Horford will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Al Horford has successfully made 41.4% of his 3-point shots while playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Al Horford comes in at the 82nd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a a phenomenal 85.7% rate this year. Al Horford will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 51.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have shot 32.9% on threes (worst in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a hard matchup. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 51.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have shot 32.9% on threes (worst in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a hard matchup. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Derrick White has attempted 13.8 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Derrick White has made 2.6 threes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (26th-most in the league) against the Hawks, branding this as a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Derrick White has attempted 13.8 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Derrick White has made 2.6 threes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (26th-most in the league) against the Hawks, branding this as a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has converted 51.0% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Jrue Holiday has converted 51.0% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jalen Johnson has attempted 15.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Johnson has made 86.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Jalen Johnson has attempted 15.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Johnson has made 86.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
+100

The Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. The Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics have the home court advantage (15th-least in the league). Dejounte Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

The Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. The Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics have the home court advantage (15th-least in the league). Dejounte Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.5
Best Odds
Over
-114

Trae Young has sunk 53.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.4% more than he's made over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Trae Young registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 36.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 3.0 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Trae Young

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.5

Trae Young has sunk 53.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.4% more than he's made over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Trae Young registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 36.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 3.0 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum slots into the 98th percentile, putting up a whopping 27.0 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum lands in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 8.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on field goal attempts (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum slots into the 98th percentile, putting up a whopping 27.0 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum lands in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 8.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on field goal attempts (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Boston Celtics.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-109

Saddiq Bey has attempted 10.6 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.5 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Saddiq Bey has played 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, branding this as a strong matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Saddiq Bey has attempted 10.6 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.5 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Saddiq Bey has played 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, branding this as a strong matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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