Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
TSN

Oklahoma City @ Dallas picks

American Airlines Center

OKC vs DAL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
D. Gafford o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 +110 betmgm
Projection updated: 441 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +105
6.5 -135
6.5 +110
6.5 -145
6.5 +100
6.5 -130
6.5 +104
6.5 -128

Daniel Gafford has made 70.7% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 45.6% on field goal attempts (2nd-worst in the league) against the Thunder, identifying this as a tough matchup. Daniel Gafford has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 19.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

Points Scored
A. Wiggins o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -115 draftkings
Projection updated: 441 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -115

Aaron Wiggins has converted 67.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 7.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season on the road. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 67.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have averaged the 7th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (31.8).

Total Assists
D. Gafford o0.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 441 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 -115
0.5 -115
0.5 -110
0.5 -120

Daniel Gafford will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
D. Jones Jr. u8.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u8.5 -115 caesars
Projection updated: 441 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -119
8.5 -115

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 11.0 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Total Rebounds
D. Gafford o5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 6.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 441 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -119
5.5 -130
5.5 +100
5.5 -110
5.5 -110

Daniel Gafford has totaled 4.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year. Daniel Gafford will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

OKC vs DAL Consensus Picks

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OKC vs DAL Top User Picks

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