LIVE 02:49 4th Oct 6
MIL 87 3.5 o215.5
DET 116 -3.5 u215.5
LIVE 10:20 2nd Oct 6
PHO 29 3.5 o222.0
LAL 34 -3.5 u222.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Final Oct 6
NY 111 -3.5 o215.5
CHA 109 3.5 u215.5
Final Oct 6
WAS 98 -3.5 o221.5
TOR 125 3.5 u221.5
Washington 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-67
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
MNMT, BSN

Washington @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-148

Daniel Gafford has sunk 65.2% of his field goals while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have totaled the 3rd-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (32.1). The number of points posted against Marvin Bagley III has been quite high (16.2 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (86th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Daniel Gafford has sunk 65.2% of his field goals while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have totaled the 3rd-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (32.1). The number of points posted against Marvin Bagley III has been quite high (16.2 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (86th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Maxi Kleber has successfully made 4.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Maxi Kleber has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Maxi Kleber has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's played overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have totaled the 3rd-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (32.1).

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Maxi Kleber has successfully made 4.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Maxi Kleber has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Maxi Kleber has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's played overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have totaled the 3rd-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (32.1).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-112

P.J. Washington has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. P.J. Washington has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 18.6 points per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, resulting in a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

P.J. Washington has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. P.J. Washington has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 18.6 points per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, resulting in a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Corey Kispert Points Scored Props • Washington

C. Kispert
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-121

Corey Kispert has attempted 8.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Corey Kispert has played 27.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a hard one; they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (111.4). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Corey Kispert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Corey Kispert has attempted 8.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Corey Kispert has played 27.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a hard one; they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (111.4). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Under
-161
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Under
-161
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 12.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (lengthening possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 12.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (lengthening possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Josh Green has made 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Josh Green has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 15.7 points per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Wizards, creating a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Josh Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Josh Green has made 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Josh Green has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 15.7 points per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Wizards, creating a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Over
-109

Kyrie Irving has attempted 24.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Kyrie Irving has sunk 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have scored 16.9 points per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive output.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

Kyrie Irving has attempted 24.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Kyrie Irving has sunk 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have scored 16.9 points per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive output.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-129

Among all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 30.0 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have totaled the 3rd-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (32.1). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage. The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays today from competing against the quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Among all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 30.0 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have totaled the 3rd-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games (32.1). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage. The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays today from competing against the quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Avdija
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-114

Deni Avdija has totaled 18.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's totaled overall this year. Deni Avdija has successfully made 62.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 22.4% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Deni Avdija has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Deni Avdija

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Deni Avdija has totaled 18.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's totaled overall this year. Deni Avdija has successfully made 62.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 22.4% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Deni Avdija has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Marvin Bagley III Points Scored Props • Washington

M. Bagley III
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Marvin Bagley III places in the 89th percentile for shooting performance away from home with a an impressive 58.9% rate this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one for scoring; opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest FG% in the league over the last 5 games (45.7%). The matchup vs. Maxi Kleber is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when Kleber is at home other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 47.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Marvin Bagley III

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Among all players in the NBA, Marvin Bagley III places in the 89th percentile for shooting performance away from home with a an impressive 58.9% rate this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one for scoring; opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest FG% in the league over the last 5 games (45.7%). The matchup vs. Maxi Kleber is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when Kleber is at home other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 47.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Washington

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-130

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 18.8 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 18.8 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
33.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
33.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has posted 34.5 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile. In contrast to last year's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 10.4 per game. Luka Doncic has averaged 37.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 100th percentile. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Wizards is a positive one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (20.2).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 33.8
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
33.8

Luka Doncic has posted 34.5 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile. In contrast to last year's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 10.4 per game. Luka Doncic has averaged 37.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 100th percentile. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Wizards is a positive one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (20.2).

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-134

Jordan Poole has attempted 6.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Jordan Poole has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.8). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Jordan Poole

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Jordan Poole has attempted 6.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Jordan Poole has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.8). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Bilal Coulibaly Points Scored Props • Washington

B. Coulibaly
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Bilal Coulibaly has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from three in all games this season without the home court advantage. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a hard one; they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (111.4). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Bilal Coulibaly has sunk 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made over the course of the season.

Bilal Coulibaly

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Bilal Coulibaly has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from three in all games this season without the home court advantage. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a hard one; they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (111.4). The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Bilal Coulibaly has sunk 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made over the course of the season.

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Washington

T. Jones
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-128

Tyus Jones has made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Tyus Jones has averaged 0.7 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 13th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Tyus Jones has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Tyus Jones

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Tyus Jones has made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Tyus Jones has averaged 0.7 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 13th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Tyus Jones has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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