Miami @ Philadelphia picks

Ricky Council IV has totaled 11.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's totaled over the course of the year. Ricky Council IV has converted 44.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Ricky Council IV has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

In contrast to last year's 0.9 clip, Nikola Jovic's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 1.8. The least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the 76ers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the 76ers are at home (8th-least in the league).

Kelly Oubre Jr. has posted 2.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's posted over the course of the year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kelly Oubre Jr. ought to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.