Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Final Oct 6
NY 111 -3.5 o215.5
CHA 109 3.5 u215.5
Final Oct 6
WAS 98 -3.5 o221.5
TOR 125 3.5 u221.5
Final Oct 6
MIL 87 3.5 o215.5
DET 120 -3.5 u215.5
Final Oct 6
PHO 118 3.5 o222.0
LAL 114 -3.5 u222.0
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
BSN, SPECSN, NBALP

Houston @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

GG Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

G. Jackson
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

This matchup is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 10th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (35.8). The 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have attempted 27.4 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Rockets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

GG Jackson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

This matchup is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 10th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (35.8). The 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have attempted 27.4 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Rockets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Vince Williams Jr. has made 2.2 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three overall this season. Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, marking this as a positive matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Vince Williams Jr. has made 2.2 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three overall this season. Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, marking this as a positive matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

John Konchar Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Konchar
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-142
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-142
Projection Rating

John Konchar has been on the court for 28.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 8.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense). John Konchar has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% more than he's converted overall this season while playing at home.

John Konchar

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

John Konchar has been on the court for 28.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 8.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense). John Konchar has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% more than he's converted overall this season while playing at home.

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luke Kennard

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Amen Thompson has sunk 58.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage. Amen Thompson has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.0). The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Amen Thompson has sunk 58.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage. Amen Thompson has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.0). The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-117

Santi Aldama has attempted 7.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Santi Aldama has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.3 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 8.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense).

Santi Aldama

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Santi Aldama has attempted 7.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Santi Aldama has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.3 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 8.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense).

Aaron Holiday Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Holiday
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Aaron Holiday has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's feeble 108.2 points per game measures as the 4th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have averaged 39.6% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a good matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Rockets. Aaron Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

Aaron Holiday

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Aaron Holiday has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's feeble 108.2 points per game measures as the 4th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have averaged 39.6% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a good matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Rockets. Aaron Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jalen Green has attempted 17.3 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green comes in at the 90th percentile for shot attempts from downtown away from home, averaging 6.2 per game this year. Jalen Green has tallied 30.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jalen Green

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Jalen Green has attempted 17.3 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green comes in at the 90th percentile for shot attempts from downtown away from home, averaging 6.2 per game this year. Jalen Green has tallied 30.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick Rose Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Rose
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Derrick Rose has successfully made 58.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 18.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Derrick Rose has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the NBA (18th percentile). When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 8.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense).

Derrick Rose

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Derrick Rose has successfully made 58.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 18.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Derrick Rose has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the NBA (18th percentile). When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 8.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 39.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.6 minutes per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. When playing at home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 39.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.6 minutes per game this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. When playing at home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-112

Compared to last season's 5.9 clip, Alperen Sengun's field goals hit have jumped this season to 8.4 per game. Alperen Sengun has made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 18.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Alperen Sengun has tallied 32.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 87th percentile. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Compared to last season's 5.9 clip, Alperen Sengun's field goals hit have jumped this season to 8.4 per game. Alperen Sengun has made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 18.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Alperen Sengun has tallied 32.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 87th percentile. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-108

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Memphis is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Grizzlies are at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Memphis is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Grizzlies are at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 21.1 shots per game over the last 15 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The clash with Alperen Sengun places in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs logging an enormous 16.7 points per game this year when they are playing at home. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 21.1 shots per game over the last 15 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The clash with Alperen Sengun places in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs logging an enormous 16.7 points per game this year when they are playing at home. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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