Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBATV Canada, BSN, NBCSCA, NBATV

Miami @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Delon Wright Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Wright
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Delon Wright lands in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 0.7 fouls per game away from home this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Delon Wright has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Delon Wright

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Delon Wright lands in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 0.7 fouls per game away from home this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Delon Wright has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

This matchup is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; their opposition has totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (37.8). The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

This matchup is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; their opposition has totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (37.8). The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year. Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged 51.3% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, marking this as a good matchup. The number of shots from downtown attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been remarkably low (1.2 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team. The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year. Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged 51.3% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, marking this as a good matchup. The number of shots from downtown attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been remarkably low (1.2 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team. The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 25th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%). The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 25th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%). The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has put up 16.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 higher than he's put up overall this season. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Harrison Barnes has put up 16.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 higher than he's put up overall this season. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Domantas Sabonis has converted 10.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis places in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Domantas Sabonis has converted 10.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis places in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Over
-102

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league. In comparison to last season's 5.4 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 7.7 per game. De'Aaron Fox has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league. In comparison to last season's 5.4 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 7.7 per game. De'Aaron Fox has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has sunk 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the Kings is a good one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1). The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Duncan Robinson has sunk 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the Kings is a good one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1). The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kevin Huerter has converted 4.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage. Kevin Huerter has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Kevin Huerter has converted 4.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season with the home court advantage. Kevin Huerter has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 90th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 6.2 per game this year. Keegan Murray has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a good matchup. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 90th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 6.2 per game this year. Keegan Murray has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a good matchup. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 4.9 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 29.4 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Sacramento Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 4.9 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 29.4 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Sacramento Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro lands in the 94th percentile for shots from the field without the home court advantage, totaling 17.8 per game this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyler Herro has played 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro lands in the 94th percentile for shots from the field without the home court advantage, totaling 17.8 per game this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyler Herro has played 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Chris Duarte Points Scored Props • Sacramento

C. Duarte
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.90
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.90
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115

Chris Duarte has gone over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.32
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
5.32
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120

Davion Mitchell has gone over 3.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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