Portland @ Memphis picks

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 33.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. Vince Williams Jr. ought to see a spike in output across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Lamar Stevens has averaged a measly 10.3 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 17.7 minutes per game last year. Lamar Stevens has accumulated 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year. The 5th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Anfernee Simons has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should reduce opportunities for the Trail Blazers. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 15.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (continuing possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Anfernee Simons will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production for all stats.

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The 5th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can generate bonus opportunities for offense).

Jordan Goodwin has sunk 53.0% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 13.4% higher than he's made in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Jordan Goodwin measures in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a measly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. Jordan Goodwin has attempted 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 free throws per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Toumani Camara has made 55.6% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 22.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a good one; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 16.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Toumani Camara has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 33.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing on the road.

In comparison to last year's 41.7% clip, Ziaire Williams's shooting ability has regressed this year to 36.0%. The 5th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can generate bonus opportunities for offense).