LIVE 08:19 4th Oct 7
ORL 82 -1.0 o215.0
NO 83 1.0 u215.0
MEM -7.5 o218.5
DAL 7.5 u218.5
OKC -3.0 o219.0
SA 3.0 u219.0
HOU -4.0 o217.5
UTA 4.0 u217.5
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
TSN

Milwaukee @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Draymond Green has sunk 65.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 23.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been very high (12.1 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Draymond Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Draymond Green has sunk 65.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 23.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been very high (12.1 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Warriors). The matchup against the Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (23rd-most in the NBA).

Jae Crowder

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Warriors). The matchup against the Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (23rd-most in the NBA).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-120

Damian Lillard has averaged just 24.5 points per game this season, quite a bit less than his 32.2 points per game last season. Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 8.5 three-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 11.3 mark last season. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The Golden State Warriors have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 9.6 mark, Damian Lillard's number of free throws has decreased this season to 7.4 free throws per game.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

Damian Lillard has averaged just 24.5 points per game this season, quite a bit less than his 32.2 points per game last season. Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 8.5 three-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 11.3 mark last season. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The Golden State Warriors have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 9.6 mark, Damian Lillard's number of free throws has decreased this season to 7.4 free throws per game.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-108

Brook Lopez has attempted 7.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Brook Lopez has played 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 82nd percentile. The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Warriors).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Brook Lopez has attempted 7.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Brook Lopez has played 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 82nd percentile. The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Warriors).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Under
-115

Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (95th percentile). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (95th percentile). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-106

Brandin Podziemski has played 32.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.4 more than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 26th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Brandin Podziemski has played 32.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.4 more than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 26th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Bobby Portis rates in the 91st percentile for technical fouls, registering a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while on the road this year. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The Golden State Warriors have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, their opposition has attempted a whopping 23.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league). Bobby Portis will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production across the board.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Among all players in the NBA, Bobby Portis rates in the 91st percentile for technical fouls, registering a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while on the road this year. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The Golden State Warriors have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, their opposition has attempted a whopping 23.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league). Bobby Portis will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production across the board.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Under
-105

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-124

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 7.0 buckets per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. While playing away from home, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 7.0 buckets per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. While playing away from home, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Over
-112

Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 100th percentile for shots from the field drained, logging a whopping 11.5 per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 79.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 43.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year away from his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year. The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.4
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.4

Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 100th percentile for shots from the field drained, logging a whopping 11.5 per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 79.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 43.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year away from his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year. The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Malik Beasley has successfully made an impressive 42.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a big improvement over his 33.6 mark last season. Compared to last year's 23.6 clip, Malik Beasley's playing time has increased this year to 29.5 minutes per game. The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Warriors).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Malik Beasley has successfully made an impressive 42.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a big improvement over his 33.6 mark last season. Compared to last year's 23.6 clip, Malik Beasley's playing time has increased this year to 29.5 minutes per game. The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Warriors).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 26th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 26th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic