LIVE 06:32 3rd Oct 7
HOU 72 -4.0 o219.5
UTA 62 4.0 u219.5
Final Oct 7
ORL 104 -1.0 o215.0
NO 106 1.0 u215.0
Final Oct 7
MEM 121 -8.0 o218.5
DAL 116 8.0 u218.5
Final Oct 7
OKC 112 -4.0 o219.0
SA 107 4.0 u219.0
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Sportsnet

Golden State @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-106

In contrast to last year's 21.3 rate, Klay Thompson's points per game have dropped this year to 17.2. Compared to last season's 10.6 clip, Klay Thompson's shot attempts from beyond the arc have decreased this season to 8.7 per game. The Golden State Warriors have been the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The matchup against the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA). Klay Thompson will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production across the board.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

In contrast to last year's 21.3 rate, Klay Thompson's points per game have dropped this year to 17.2. Compared to last season's 10.6 clip, Klay Thompson's shot attempts from beyond the arc have decreased this season to 8.7 per game. The Golden State Warriors have been the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The matchup against the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA). Klay Thompson will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production across the board.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Draymond Green has successfully made 49.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.6% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Draymond Green has successfully made 49.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.6% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-122

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 5th percentile for three-point attempts on his home court, registering 0.0 per game this year. Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 5th percentile for three-point attempts on his home court, registering 0.0 per game this year. Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 88.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 20.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one for shots from downtown; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 39.2% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (97th percentile). The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 88.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 20.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one for shots from downtown; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 39.2% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (97th percentile). The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington lands in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.7 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington lands in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.7 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-111

Relative to last year's 32.4 rate, Chris Paul's playing time has been reduced this year to 27.1 minutes per game. The Golden State Warriors have been the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). Chris Paul has converted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.1 mark last year. The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Chris Paul

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Relative to last year's 32.4 rate, Chris Paul's playing time has been reduced this year to 27.1 minutes per game. The Golden State Warriors have been the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). Chris Paul has converted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.1 mark last year. The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-112

Kyrie Irving has made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Kyrie Irving has made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
+104

Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Jonathan Kuminga should see a decline in performance for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Jonathan Kuminga should see a decline in performance for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 68.7% of his shot attempts from the field when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Dereck Lively II should see a spike in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 68.7% of his shot attempts from the field when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Dereck Lively II should see a spike in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 13.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Brandin Podziemski has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 4.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 13.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Brandin Podziemski has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 4.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Andrew Wiggins has converted 68.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 32.8% more than he's converted from three in all games this year away from home. Relative to last season's 3.0 rate, Andrew Wiggins's personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 2.2. The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Andrew Wiggins has converted 68.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 32.8% more than he's converted from three in all games this year away from home. Relative to last season's 3.0 rate, Andrew Wiggins's personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 2.2. The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made a whopping 3.3 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 1.7 rate last season. Compared to last year's 1.2 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 3.3 per game. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made a whopping 3.3 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 1.7 rate last season. Compared to last year's 1.2 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 3.3 per game. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
34.5
Points Scored
Projection
34.4
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
34.5 Points Scored
Projection
34.4
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. In contrast to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has been reduced this season to 9.0 free throw attempts per game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 34.5 Points Scored
Projection: 34.4
Prop:
34.5 Points Scored
Projection:
34.4

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. In contrast to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has been reduced this season to 9.0 free throw attempts per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic