Final Oct 7
ORL 104 -1.0 o215.0
NO 106 1.0 u215.0
Final Oct 7
MEM 121 -8.0 o218.5
DAL 116 8.0 u218.5
Final Oct 7
OKC 112 -4.0 o219.0
SA 107 4.0 u219.0
Final Oct 7
HOU 113 -4.0 o219.5
UTA 122 4.0 u219.5
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Sportsnet, TNT

Phoenix @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has attempted 9.0 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Royce O'Neale has attempted 6.8 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Royce O'Neale has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 121.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Royce O'Neale has attempted 9.0 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Royce O'Neale has attempted 6.8 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Royce O'Neale has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 121.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-109

In comparison to last year's 9.2 clip, Derrick White's shots from the field have risen this year to 11.4 per game. Among all players in the league, Derrick White slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.6 minutes per game playing at home this year. When it comes to scoring, the Boston Celtics's stellar 120.8 points per game ranks most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Celtics. Derrick White has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Derrick White

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

In comparison to last year's 9.2 clip, Derrick White's shots from the field have risen this year to 11.4 per game. Among all players in the league, Derrick White slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.6 minutes per game playing at home this year. When it comes to scoring, the Boston Celtics's stellar 120.8 points per game ranks most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Celtics. Derrick White has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown lands in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.6 fouls per game at home this year. The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Celtics. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Celtics grade out 8thworst in in the league on their home court with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Phoenix Suns may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown lands in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.6 fouls per game at home this year. The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Celtics. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Celtics grade out 8thworst in in the league on their home court with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Phoenix Suns may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
-112

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics). The Suns rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Durant is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics). The Suns rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Durant is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Under
-124

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (0.9). The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Celtics. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Celtics grade out 8thworst in in the league on their home court with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 21 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.0 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (0.9). The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Celtics. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Celtics grade out 8thworst in in the league on their home court with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 21 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.0 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+110

Among all players in the NBA, Al Horford ranks in the 75th percentile for 3-point proficiency while at home with a phenomenal 40.5% rate this year. When it comes to scoring, the Boston Celtics's stellar 120.8 points per game ranks most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Celtics. Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Al Horford will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance across the board.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Among all players in the NBA, Al Horford ranks in the 75th percentile for 3-point proficiency while at home with a phenomenal 40.5% rate this year. When it comes to scoring, the Boston Celtics's stellar 120.8 points per game ranks most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Celtics. Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Al Horford will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance across the board.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
+104

Jrue Holiday has averaged 32.0 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, the Boston Celtics's stellar 120.8 points per game ranks most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Celtics. The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the NBA). Jrue Holiday will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises player production across the board.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Jrue Holiday has averaged 32.0 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, the Boston Celtics's stellar 120.8 points per game ranks most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Celtics. The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the NBA). Jrue Holiday will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises player production across the board.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-117

Jusuf Nurkic has made just 21.3% of his 3-pointers this year, a sizeable decrease from his 31.5 mark last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic registers in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.3 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The matchup with Al Horford ranks in the 17th percentile with the other team's starting Cs scoring only 28.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc this year. The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics). The Suns rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Jusuf Nurkic has made just 21.3% of his 3-pointers this year, a sizeable decrease from his 31.5 mark last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic registers in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.3 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The matchup with Al Horford ranks in the 17th percentile with the other team's starting Cs scoring only 28.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc this year. The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics). The Suns rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Grayson Allen has converted 55.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.3% higher than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage. Grayson Allen has made 4.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Grayson Allen has played 32.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 121.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a good matchup.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Grayson Allen has converted 55.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.3% higher than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage. Grayson Allen has made 4.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Grayson Allen has played 32.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 121.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a good matchup.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Bradley Beal has scored 23.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's scored overall this year. Bradley Beal has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 121.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Boston Celtics are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8). The Suns have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Bradley Beal has scored 23.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's scored overall this year. Bradley Beal has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 121.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Boston Celtics are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8). The Suns have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-113

Devin Booker has posted 27.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile. Devin Booker has tallied 36.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 121.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a good matchup. The Suns have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Devin Booker

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

Devin Booker has posted 27.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile. Devin Booker has tallied 36.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 121.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a good matchup. The Suns have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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