PHO 4.0 o222.5
DET -4.0 u222.5
CHI 4.5 o217.0
CLE -4.5 u217.0
MIA 1.5 o217.5
CHA -1.5 u217.5
IND -1.5 o227.0
ATL 1.5 u227.0
BK 4.5 o216.5
LAC -4.5 u216.5
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
WMLW, ESPN, NBCSB

Milwaukee @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

This year, opposing starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted a lowly 11.2 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 12.2 rate last year. Giannis Antetokounmpo will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

This year, opposing starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted a lowly 11.2 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 12.2 rate last year. Giannis Antetokounmpo will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Compared to last year's 17.3 rate, Jae Crowder's playing time has jumped this year to 24.1 minutes per game. The Bucks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year. Jae Crowder has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.3% higher than he's made overall this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Jae Crowder

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Compared to last year's 17.3 rate, Jae Crowder's playing time has jumped this year to 24.1 minutes per game. The Bucks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year. Jae Crowder has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.3% higher than he's made overall this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Khris Middleton has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Celtics, making it tough to get to the foul line. Khris Middleton will likely experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this game.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Khris Middleton has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Celtics, making it tough to get to the foul line. Khris Middleton will likely experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's subpar 17.0 foul shot attempts per game measures as the worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's subpar 17.0 foul shot attempts per game measures as the worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Derrick White has made 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Derrick White has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Derrick White

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Derrick White has made 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Derrick White has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

Relative to last season's 32.2 clip, Damian Lillard's points per game have decreased this season to 24.4. Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 8.6 threes per game this year, significantly less than his 11.3 mark last year. The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 7.1 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 9.6 rate last year.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Relative to last season's 32.2 clip, Damian Lillard's points per game have decreased this season to 24.4. Damian Lillard has attempted a mere 8.6 threes per game this year, significantly less than his 11.3 mark last year. The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard has attempted a lowly 7.1 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 9.6 rate last year.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Payton Pritchard has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Payton Pritchard has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Payton Pritchard has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-102

Relative to last year's 33.6% clip, Malik Beasley's 3-point ability has increased this year to 42.3%. Malik Beasley has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Bucks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the Celtics are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8). The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Relative to last year's 33.6% clip, Malik Beasley's 3-point ability has increased this year to 42.3%. Malik Beasley has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Bucks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the Celtics are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8). The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Under
-102

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. Relative to last year's 8.1 mark, Jayson Tatum's number of foul shot attempts has diminished this year to 6.7 foul shot attempts per game. In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's subpar 17.0 foul shot attempts per game measures as the worst in the NBA over the last 20 games. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. Relative to last year's 8.1 mark, Jayson Tatum's number of foul shot attempts has diminished this year to 6.7 foul shot attempts per game. In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's subpar 17.0 foul shot attempts per game measures as the worst in the NBA over the last 20 games. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has sunk 7.0 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The Bucks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Bobby Portis has sunk 7.0 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The Bucks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

In comparison to last year's 16.1 clip, Brook Lopez's points per game have declined this year to 12.5. Brook Lopez has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The showdown with Al Horford rates in the 23rd percentile with the other team's starting Cs sinking just 29.4% of their 3-point shots this year. The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

In comparison to last year's 16.1 clip, Brook Lopez's points per game have declined this year to 12.5. Brook Lopez has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The showdown with Al Horford rates in the 23rd percentile with the other team's starting Cs sinking just 29.4% of their 3-point shots this year. The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Al Horford has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown overall this season. While away from his home court and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez rates in the 100th percentile with a colossal 13.3 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Al Horford has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's converted overall this year.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Al Horford has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown overall this season. While away from his home court and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez rates in the 100th percentile with a colossal 13.3 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Al Horford has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's converted overall this year.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-127

Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls. Jrue Holiday stands to see an increase in efficiency across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls. Jrue Holiday stands to see an increase in efficiency across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kristaps Porzingis has made 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made in all games this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a good matchup. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kristaps Porzingis has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year on his home court.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Kristaps Porzingis has made 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made in all games this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a good matchup. The Boston Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Bucks). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kristaps Porzingis has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year on his home court.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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