PHO 3.5 o225.0
DET -3.5 u225.0
CHI 4.5 o219.5
CLE -4.5 u219.5
MIA 2.0 o216.5
CHA -2.0 u216.5
IND -1.5 o229.0
ATL 1.5 u229.0
BK 5.5 o218.5
LAC -5.5 u218.5
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
NBALP

Boston @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wiseman Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Wiseman
center C • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 20.8% mark, James Wiseman's 3-point ability has been reduced this season to 0.0%. James Wiseman has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 13 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home. The number of 3-point shots attempted against Xavier Tillman has been very low (1.2 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

James Wiseman

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

In contrast to last season's 20.8% mark, James Wiseman's 3-point ability has been reduced this season to 0.0%. James Wiseman has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 13 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home. The number of 3-point shots attempted against Xavier Tillman has been very low (1.2 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Under
-104

The matchup against the Pistons is a hard one for threes; opposing starting SGs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%). The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 free throws per game. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Derrick White is expected to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

Derrick White

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

The matchup against the Pistons is a hard one for threes; opposing starting SGs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%). The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 free throws per game. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Derrick White is expected to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

Troy Brown Jr. Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Brown Jr.
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Troy Brown Jr. has sunk 19.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% less than he's put through the net overall this season while playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Troy Brown Jr. registers in the 22nd percentile for playing time, logging only 11.2 minutes per game this year. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Troy Brown Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Troy Brown Jr. has sunk 19.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% less than he's put through the net overall this season while playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Troy Brown Jr. registers in the 22nd percentile for playing time, logging only 11.2 minutes per game this year. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 17.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Kristaps Porzingis has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.6 minutes per game this year. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons). The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 17.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Kristaps Porzingis has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.6 minutes per game this year. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons). The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-109

The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.1). The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 free throws per game. Jayson Tatum stands to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.1). The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 free throws per game. Jayson Tatum stands to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 free throws per game. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 free throws per game. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

Tosan Evbuomwan Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Evbuomwan
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Tosan Evbuomwan has converted 84.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 27.9% higher than he's sunk overall this season. The fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home, totaling 22.8 foul shot attempts per game. Tosan Evbuomwan will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Tosan Evbuomwan

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Tosan Evbuomwan has converted 84.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 27.9% higher than he's sunk overall this season. The fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home, totaling 22.8 foul shot attempts per game. Tosan Evbuomwan will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Marcus Sasser Points Scored Props • Detroit

M. Sasser
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Marcus Sasser has successfully made 51.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 19.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while on his home court. Marcus Sasser has tallied 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied overall this year. The fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Out of all players in the NBA, Marcus Sasser registers in the 90th percentile for free-throw proficiency with an outstanding 88.2% rate this year. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home, totaling 22.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Marcus Sasser

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Marcus Sasser has successfully made 51.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 19.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while on his home court. Marcus Sasser has tallied 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied overall this year. The fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Out of all players in the NBA, Marcus Sasser registers in the 90th percentile for free-throw proficiency with an outstanding 88.2% rate this year. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home, totaling 22.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Relative to last year's 3.9 mark, Jalen Duren's shots made have risen this year to 5.8 per game. Jalen Duren has played a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 25.0 minutes per game last year. The number of 3-pointers attempted against Luke Kornet has been very high (2.3 per game) when away from his home court and facing other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Jalen Duren has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Relative to last year's 3.9 mark, Jalen Duren's shots made have risen this year to 5.8 per game. Jalen Duren has played a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 25.0 minutes per game last year. The number of 3-pointers attempted against Luke Kornet has been very high (2.3 per game) when away from his home court and facing other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Jalen Duren has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Luke Kornet Points Scored Props • Boston

L. Kornet
center C • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Luke Kornet has made 81.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from home. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons). The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Luke Kornet has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Luke Kornet

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Luke Kornet has made 81.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from home. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons). The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Luke Kornet has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
+102

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 41.4% on field goal attempts (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Pistons, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 free throws per game. Payton Pritchard should see a decline in output across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 41.4% on field goal attempts (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Pistons, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. As a team, the Celtics have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 free throws per game. Payton Pritchard should see a decline in output across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Xavier Tillman Points Scored Props • Boston

X. Tillman
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 59.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 19.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home. The rate of 3-point shots drained against James Wiseman has been quite high (36.8%) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons). The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against James Wiseman is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.1 free throws per game (90th percentile).

Xavier Tillman

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 59.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 19.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home. The rate of 3-point shots drained against James Wiseman has been quite high (36.8%) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons). The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against James Wiseman is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.1 free throws per game (90th percentile).

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-118

Among all players in the league, Cade Cunningham lands in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Among all players in the league, Cade Cunningham lands in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-104

Jaden Ivey has attempted 14.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jaden Ivey has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jaden Ivey has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home, totaling 22.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Jaden Ivey has attempted 14.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jaden Ivey has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jaden Ivey has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home, totaling 22.8 foul shot attempts per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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