PHO 3.5 o225.0
DET -3.5 u225.0
CHI 4.5 o219.5
CLE -4.5 u219.5
MIA 2.0 o216.5
CHA -2.0 u216.5
IND -1.5 o229.0
ATL 1.5 u229.0
BK 5.5 o218.5
LAC -5.5 u218.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
Sportsnet

Oklahoma City @ Toronto props

Scotiabank Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Javon Freeman-Liberty Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Freeman-Liberty
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Among all players in the league, Javon Freeman-Liberty registers in the 85th percentile for free-throw prowess at home with a remarkable 90.0% rate this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Javon Freeman-Liberty

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Among all players in the league, Javon Freeman-Liberty registers in the 85th percentile for free-throw prowess at home with a remarkable 90.0% rate this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Ochai Agbaji Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Agbaji
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's tallied in all games this season. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 11.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji ranks in the 18th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a feeble 64.9% rate this year.

Ochai Agbaji

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's tallied in all games this season. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 11.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji ranks in the 18th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a feeble 64.9% rate this year.

Jordan Nwora Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Nwora
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Jordan Nwora has successfully made 4.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's made in all games this year. Jordan Nwora has successfully made 1.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Nwora ranks in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. The fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Jordan Nwora

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Jordan Nwora has successfully made 4.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's made in all games this year. Jordan Nwora has successfully made 1.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Nwora ranks in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. The fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder. The Toronto Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the league).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder. The Toronto Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the league).

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Toronto

B. Brown
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the league) against the Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the league) against the Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward has converted 58.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 18.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder. The Toronto Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. Gordon Hayward has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Gordon Hayward has converted 58.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 18.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder. The Toronto Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. Gordon Hayward has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-102

Chet Holmgren has tallied 17.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 85th percentile. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 30.2 minutes per game on the road this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder. The Toronto Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Chet Holmgren has tallied 17.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 85th percentile. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 30.2 minutes per game on the road this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder. The Toronto Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Relative to last year's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's three-point efficiency has risen this year to 44.7%. Jalen Williams has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 84th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Raptors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Relative to last year's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's three-point efficiency has risen this year to 44.7%. Jalen Williams has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 84th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Raptors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-108

Josh Giddey has averaged a lowly 24.5 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.3 minutes per game last season. The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Toronto may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are at home (5th-least in the NBA). Josh Giddey will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player production across the board.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Josh Giddey has averaged a lowly 24.5 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.3 minutes per game last season. The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Toronto may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are at home (5th-least in the NBA). Josh Giddey will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player production across the board.

Gradey Dick Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Dick
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-105

Gradey Dick has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Gradey Dick has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Gradey Dick has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 11.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Gradey Dick

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Gradey Dick has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Gradey Dick has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Gradey Dick has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 11.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Under
-125

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots hit have diminished this year to 7.7 per game. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board considering being on the road in this game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.4
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots hit have diminished this year to 7.7 per game. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board considering being on the road in this game.

Kelly Olynyk Points Scored Props • Toronto

K. Olynyk
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-108

Kelly Olynyk has tallied 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kelly Olynyk

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Kelly Olynyk has tallied 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-119
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-119
Projection Rating

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the league) against the Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the league) against the Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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