PHO 3.5 o225.0
DET -3.5 u225.0
CHI 4.5 o219.5
CLE -4.5 u219.5
MIA 2.0 o216.5
CHA -2.0 u216.5
IND -1.5 o229.0
ATL 1.5 u229.0
BK 5.5 o218.5
LAC -5.5 u218.5
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
NBATV

Denver @ Portland props

Moda Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Scoot Henderson Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Henderson
point guard PG • Portland
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Under
-135

Among all players in the NBA, Scoot Henderson slots into the 97th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.1 fouls per game this year. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5). The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Scoot Henderson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Among all players in the NBA, Scoot Henderson slots into the 97th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.1 fouls per game this year. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5). The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

The Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.8%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home. The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Reggie Jackson ought to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

The Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.8%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home. The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Reggie Jackson ought to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

DeAndre Jordan Points Scored Props • Denver

D. Jordan
center C • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, DeAndre Jordan comes in at the 25th percentile for playing time, posting only 11.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home. The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Among all players in the NBA, DeAndre Jordan rates in the 3rd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a lackluster 41.5% rate this year.

DeAndre Jordan

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the league, DeAndre Jordan comes in at the 25th percentile for playing time, posting only 11.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home. The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Among all players in the NBA, DeAndre Jordan rates in the 3rd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a lackluster 41.5% rate this year.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 29.6% on 3-pointers (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home. The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 14th percentile for free-throw ability with a bad 61.4% rate this year.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

The Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 29.6% on 3-pointers (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home. The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 14th percentile for free-throw ability with a bad 61.4% rate this year.

Kris Murray Points Scored Props • Portland

K. Murray
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

Kris Murray has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Kris Murray

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Kris Murray has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Duop Reath Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Reath
center C • Portland
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
+105

Out of all players in the NBA, Duop Reath places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Duop Reath

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Duop Reath places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Rayan Rupert Points Scored Props • Portland

R. Rupert
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Rayan Rupert has made 42.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Rayan Rupert has sunk 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 15.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league). Rayan Rupert figures to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Rayan Rupert

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Rayan Rupert has made 42.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Rayan Rupert has sunk 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 15.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league). Rayan Rupert figures to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Toumani Camara has sunk 59.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.3% more than he's made in all games this season. Toumani Camara has made 49.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year with the home court advantage. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Toumani Camara ought to see a rise in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Toumani Camara

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Toumani Camara has sunk 59.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.3% more than he's made in all games this season. Toumani Camara has made 49.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year with the home court advantage. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Toumani Camara ought to see a rise in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.8 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 51.5% on shot attempts from the field (best in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.8 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 51.5% on shot attempts from the field (best in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Dalano Banton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Banton
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Dalano Banton

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Jabari Walker Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Walker
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jabari Walker has converted 55.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing at home. Jabari Walker has successfully made 41.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jabari Walker will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Jabari Walker

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Jabari Walker has converted 55.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing at home. Jabari Walker has successfully made 41.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jabari Walker will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 99th percentile for shots scored, compiling an enormous 10.3 per game this year. Nikola Jokic has tallied 34.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The faceoff with Duop Reath lands in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting Cs converting a massive 41.0% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year when they are playing on the road. The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jokic has converted 4.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 99th percentile for shots scored, compiling an enormous 10.3 per game this year. Nikola Jokic has tallied 34.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The faceoff with Duop Reath lands in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting Cs converting a massive 41.0% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year when they are playing on the road. The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jokic has converted 4.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-154
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-154
Projection Rating

The Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 8.4 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home. The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Michael Porter Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

The Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 8.4 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from home. The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. Michael Porter Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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