Cleveland 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBALP

Cleveland @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaac Okoro Points Scored Props • Cleveland

I. Okoro
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Isaac Okoro has made an impressive 45.8% of his three-point shots this season, significantly higher than his 37.0 rate last season. Compared to last season's 21.5 rate, Isaac Okoro's playing time has increased this season to 29.3 minutes per game. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.9% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have secured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Isaac Okoro

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Isaac Okoro has made an impressive 45.8% of his three-point shots this season, significantly higher than his 37.0 rate last season. Compared to last season's 21.5 rate, Isaac Okoro's playing time has increased this season to 29.3 minutes per game. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.9% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have secured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-105

Compared to last year's 2.6 clip, Donovan Mitchell's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.4. The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 7thworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Donovan Mitchell figures to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Compared to last year's 2.6 clip, Donovan Mitchell's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.4. The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 7thworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Donovan Mitchell figures to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Georges Niang Points Scored Props • Cleveland

G. Niang
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Georges Niang has converted 48.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 7.0% more than he's sunk overall this season playing at home. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.9% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have secured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). In contrast to last year's 83.7% rate, Georges Niang's free-throw prowess has increased this year to 92.9%.

Georges Niang

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Georges Niang has converted 48.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 7.0% more than he's sunk overall this season playing at home. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.9% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have secured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). In contrast to last year's 83.7% rate, Georges Niang's free-throw prowess has increased this year to 92.9%.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have scored 9.8 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers (saving possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Caleb Martin has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have scored 9.8 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers (saving possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

Josh Richardson Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Richardson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Josh Richardson has converted 5.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home. Josh Richardson has averaged an impressive 27.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 23.0 minutes per game last year. With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, opposing teams have shot for the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (46.1%). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Josh Richardson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Josh Richardson has converted 5.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home. Josh Richardson has averaged an impressive 27.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 23.0 minutes per game last year. With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, opposing teams have shot for the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (46.1%). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Orlando Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

O. Robinson
center C • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Cleveland is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting Cs have shot for the 29th-highest three percentage in the league this year (65.8%). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Cleveland is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team (29th-most in the NBA). Orlando Robinson should see a rise in effectiveness across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Orlando Robinson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Cleveland is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting Cs have shot for the 29th-highest three percentage in the league this year (65.8%). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Cleveland is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team (29th-most in the NBA). Orlando Robinson should see a rise in effectiveness across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-105

In contrast to last season's 6.0 mark, Darius Garland's shots from behind the three-point arc have fallen this season to 4.8 per game. Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have registered 15.2 points per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive production. The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 7thworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Darius Garland will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production for all stats.

Darius Garland

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

In contrast to last season's 6.0 mark, Darius Garland's shots from behind the three-point arc have fallen this season to 4.8 per game. Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have registered 15.2 points per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive production. The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 7thworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Darius Garland will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production for all stats.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 6.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's sunk in all games this year away from home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 4.4 more than he's played over the course of the season at home. With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, opposing teams have shot for the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (46.1%). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 6.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's sunk in all games this year away from home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 4.4 more than he's played over the course of the season at home. With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, opposing teams have shot for the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (46.1%). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-117

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 4.3 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers (saving possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 4.3 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers (saving possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled 21.6 points per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive production. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Kyle Lowry has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 94.9 rate last year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.7 free throws per game (25th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled 21.6 points per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive production. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Kyle Lowry has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 94.9 rate last year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.7 free throws per game (25th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Jarrett Allen has converted 10.0% of his three-point shots away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league. Jarrett Allen has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year on the road. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has shot 38.5% on three-pointers (3rd-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have posted 11.8 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Jarrett Allen has converted 10.0% of his three-point shots away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league. Jarrett Allen has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year on the road. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has shot 38.5% on three-pointers (3rd-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have posted 11.8 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Dean Wade Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Wade
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dean Wade has tallied 24.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.9% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 49.9% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have secured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Dean Wade

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Dean Wade has tallied 24.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.9% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 49.9% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have secured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-132

Relative to last season's 11.3 clip, Max Strus's points per game have surged this season to 16.6. Max Strus has made an impressive 50.8% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 39.2 mark last season. Max Strus has averaged 34.5 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.9% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Max Strus

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Relative to last season's 11.3 clip, Max Strus's points per game have surged this season to 16.6. Max Strus has made an impressive 50.8% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 39.2 mark last season. Max Strus has averaged 34.5 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's excellent 48.9% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-122

Compared to last year's 7.3 mark, Duncan Robinson's points per game have increased this year to 15.0. In comparison to last year's 1.7 rate, Duncan Robinson's three-point shots converted have jumped this year to 3.1 per game. Duncan Robinson has averaged an impressive 29.2 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 16.6 minutes per game last season. With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Compared to last year's 7.3 mark, Duncan Robinson's points per game have increased this year to 15.0. In comparison to last year's 1.7 rate, Duncan Robinson's three-point shots converted have jumped this year to 3.1 per game. Duncan Robinson has averaged an impressive 29.2 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 16.6 minutes per game last season. With respect to scoring, the Miami Heat's exceptional 125.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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