Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25

Houston @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 1.8 clip, Christian Braun's shots hit have surged this year to 3.5 per game. Christian Braun has converted 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 15.7% more than he's converted from three in all games this season when playing on the road. Christian Braun has been on the court for a terrific 20.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 14.5 minutes per game last season. The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

In contrast to last year's 1.8 clip, Christian Braun's shots hit have surged this year to 3.5 per game. Christian Braun has converted 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 15.7% more than he's converted from three in all games this season when playing on the road. Christian Braun has been on the court for a terrific 20.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 14.5 minutes per game last season. The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
+100

In contrast to last year's 11.7 mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s shots from the field have risen this year to 11.4 per game. Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.3 3-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 5.0 mark last season. Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 47.9% field goal rate while on the road measures as the 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

In contrast to last year's 11.7 mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s shots from the field have risen this year to 11.4 per game. Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.3 3-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 5.0 mark last season. Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 47.9% field goal rate while on the road measures as the 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 76th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting Cs have tallied 0.1 three-pointers per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets). With respect to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's unimpressive 19.5 foul shot attempts per game on the road rates 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 76th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting Cs have tallied 0.1 three-pointers per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets). With respect to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's unimpressive 19.5 foul shot attempts per game on the road rates 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made a terrific 51.1% of his three-point attempts this year, a significant increase from his 40.7 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk a whopping 93.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 83.2 mark last year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made a terrific 51.1% of his three-point attempts this year, a significant increase from his 40.7 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk a whopping 93.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 83.2 mark last year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 28th-highest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (37.7%). The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Houston may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad (23rd-most in the NBA). Jamal Murray will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 28th-highest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (37.7%). The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Houston may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad (23rd-most in the NBA). Jamal Murray will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
+100

In comparison to last year's 1.9 mark, Dillon Brooks's 3-pointers made have jumped this year to 2.1 per game. Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 30.7 minutes per game while on the road this year. In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 47.9% field goal rate while on the road measures as the 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

In comparison to last year's 1.9 mark, Dillon Brooks's 3-pointers made have jumped this year to 2.1 per game. Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 30.7 minutes per game while on the road this year. In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 47.9% field goal rate while on the road measures as the 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 47.9% field goal rate while on the road measures as the 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, opposing squads have tallied the 2nd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (30.1). This year when they are at home, opposing teams have attempted 20.6 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Tari Eason

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 47.9% field goal rate while on the road measures as the 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, opposing squads have tallied the 2nd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (30.1). This year when they are at home, opposing teams have attempted 20.6 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-106

Michael Porter Jr. has made an impressive 3.4 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.6 mark last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.6 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Houston is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.6 foul shots per game this year when the Houston Rockets are at home (28th-most in the league).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Michael Porter Jr. has made an impressive 3.4 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.6 mark last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.6 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Houston is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.6 foul shots per game this year when the Houston Rockets are at home (28th-most in the league).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's committed overall this season at home. The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets). In comparison to last year's 50.0% clip, Reggie Jackson's free-throw efficiency has decreased this year to 59.5%. With respect to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's unimpressive 19.5 foul shot attempts per game on the road rates 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Reggie Jackson has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's committed overall this season at home. The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets). In comparison to last year's 50.0% clip, Reggie Jackson's free-throw efficiency has decreased this year to 59.5%. With respect to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's unimpressive 19.5 foul shot attempts per game on the road rates 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Under
-110

Relative to last year's 3.2 clip, Alperen Sengun's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 3.6. The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Rockets rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Relative to last year's 3.2 clip, Alperen Sengun's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 3.6. The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Rockets rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-105

In contrast to last season's 17.9 mark, Jalen Green's field goal attempts have diminished this season to 14.9 per game. Jalen Green has attempted a measly 6.1 treys per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 7.3 rate last season. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9). The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Jalen Green

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

In contrast to last season's 17.9 mark, Jalen Green's field goal attempts have diminished this season to 14.9 per game. Jalen Green has attempted a measly 6.1 treys per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 7.3 rate last season. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9). The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Compared to last year's 5.5 rate, Aaron Gordon's shots converted have surged this year to 7.0 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 27th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Compared to last year's 5.5 rate, Aaron Gordon's shots converted have surged this year to 7.0 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 27th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

In contrast to last year's 16.2 mark, Fred VanVleet's shots have declined this year to 14.2 per game. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Rockets rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

In contrast to last year's 16.2 mark, Fred VanVleet's shots have declined this year to 14.2 per game. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Rockets rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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