LIVE 00:13 4th Apr 26
HOU 93 1.5 o205.0
GS 101 -1.5 u205.0
Final Apr 26
CLE 124 -5.0 o212.0
MIA 87 5.0 u212.0
Final Apr 26
OKC 117 -15.0 o224.0
MEM 115 15.0 u224.0
Final Apr 26
DEN 101 6.5 o211.5
LAC 99 -6.5 u211.5
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBCSB, TNT, TRUTV

Boston @ Miami picks

Kaseya Center

BOS vs MIA Picks

NBA Picks
Total Assists
N. Jovic o0.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +1500 draftkings
Projection updated: 363 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -180
1.5 +145
1.5 -185
1.5 +135
1.5 +131
1.5 -192
0.5 +1500
0.5 -3600

Nikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

3-Pointers Made
J. Jaquez Jr. o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +2000 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 -220
0.5 +170
0.5 -225
0.5 +165
1.5 +180
1.5 -250
0.5 +111
0.5 -161
0.5 +2000
0.5 -6500
0.5 -215
0.5 +164

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 42.6% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 7.0 three attempts per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, creating a good matchup. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Total Assists
C. Martin o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +1600 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -160
1.5 +130
1.5 -165
1.5 +125
1.5 +122
1.5 -179
1.5 +1600
1.5 -4000
1.5 -180
1.5 +146

Caleb Martin has posted 3.1 assists per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.8 more than he's posted over the course of the season at home. Caleb Martin should see an increase in output in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

3-Pointers Made
N. Jovic o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +1600 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -125
1.5 -105
1.5 -130
1.5 +100
2.5 +128
2.5 -182
1.5 -169
1.5 +117
1.5 +1600
1.5 -4000
1.5 +142
1.5 -192

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 58.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.3 three attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Celtics, designating this as a strong matchup. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

3-Pointers Made
J. Brown o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +1500 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -180
1.5 +145
1.5 -185
1.5 +135
1.5 +285
1.5 -480
1.5 -114
1.5 -127
1.5 +1500
1.5 -3600
1.5 +174
1.5 -240

Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.9 treys per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Jaylen Brown has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (5.5). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

3-Pointers Made
P. Pritchard o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +1100 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 -220
0.5 +170
0.5 -225
0.5 +165
0.5 -101
0.5 -143
0.5 +1100
0.5 -2100

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 37.7% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Payton Pritchard has attempted 4.4 shots from downtown per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Payton Pritchard has tallied 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

3-Pointers Made
T. Herro o2.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 3.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +1400 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +105
3.5 -135
3.5 +115
3.5 -150
2.5 -152
2.5 +110
2.5 -122
2.5 -118
2.5 +1400
2.5 -3200
2.5 -104
2.5 -128

Tyler Herro has made 41.1% of his shots from downtown with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Tyler Herro has attempted 10.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Tyler Herro has tallied 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (3.0).

Points Scored
N. Jovic o3.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +800 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -120
8.5 -110
8.5 -125
8.5 -105
9.5 -139
9.5 +100
7.5 -118
7.5 -122
3.5 +800
3.5 -1350
5.5 +130
5.5 -166

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 58.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games at home, 28.7% more than he's made in all games this year while at home. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Total Assists
K. Porzingis o0.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +900 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -145
1.5 +115
1.5 -150
1.5 +115
1.5 -125
1.5 -112
1.5 +122
1.5 -179
0.5 +900
0.5 -1600

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.7 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Total Rebounds
N. Jovic o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +800 draftkings
Projection updated: 362 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -115
5.5 -115
5.5 -120
5.5 -110
5.5 +106
5.5 -148
3.5 -143
3.5 -101
3.5 +800
3.5 -1350
5.5 +100
5.5 -122

Nikola Jovic has put up 6.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's put up in all games this season. Nikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

BOS vs MIA Consensus Picks

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Total

62% picking Boston vs Miami to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksBOS 372, MIA 230

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