Boston @ Miami picks
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BOS vs MIA Picks
NBA PicksNikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 42.6% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 7.0 three attempts per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, creating a good matchup. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.
Caleb Martin has posted 3.1 assists per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.8 more than he's posted over the course of the season at home. Caleb Martin should see an increase in output in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.
Nikola Jovic has successfully made 58.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.3 three attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Celtics, designating this as a strong matchup. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.
Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.9 treys per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Jaylen Brown has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (5.5). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Payton Pritchard has successfully made 37.7% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Payton Pritchard has attempted 4.4 shots from downtown per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Payton Pritchard has tallied 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Tyler Herro has made 41.1% of his shots from downtown with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Tyler Herro has attempted 10.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Tyler Herro has tallied 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (3.0).
Nikola Jovic has successfully made 58.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games at home, 28.7% more than he's made in all games this year while at home. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.
Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.7 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Nikola Jovic has put up 6.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's put up in all games this season. Nikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.
BOS vs MIA Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks62% picking Boston vs Miami to go Over
Total PicksBOS 372, MIA 230