Final Nov 23
NY 106 -8.5 o234.0
UTA 121 8.5 u234.0
Final Nov 23
DET 100 9.0 o207.5
ORL 111 -9.0 u207.5
Final Nov 23
CHA 119 8.0 o224.0
MIL 125 -8.0 u224.0
Final Nov 23
MEM 142 -4.0 o244.0
CHI 131 4.0 u244.0
Final Nov 23
POR 104 11.5 o226.5
HOU 98 -11.5 u226.5
Final Nov 23
GS 94 -3.5 o229.0
SA 104 3.5 u229.0
Final Nov 23
DEN 127 4.0 o236.0
LAL 102 -4.0 u236.0
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Oklahoma City @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+275
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+275
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 36.9% rate, Aaron Wiggins's 3-point performance has surged this year to 50.5%. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% higher than he's made overall this season while playing on the road.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Compared to last year's 36.9% rate, Aaron Wiggins's 3-point performance has surged this year to 50.5%. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% higher than he's made overall this season while playing on the road.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+136

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Luguentz Dort has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Luguentz Dort has converted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this year away from his home court.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Luguentz Dort has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Luguentz Dort has converted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this year away from his home court.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 100th percentile, logging a whopping 33.3 points per game this year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.6 treys per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 rate last year. Luka Doncic has played 38.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 100th percentile. In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.8

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 100th percentile, logging a whopping 33.3 points per game this year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.6 treys per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 rate last year. Luka Doncic has played 38.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 100th percentile. In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 59.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 7.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's tallied overall this season. In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder). Derrick Jones Jr. will likely see a spike in output across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 59.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 7.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's tallied overall this season. In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder). Derrick Jones Jr. will likely see a spike in output across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-125

P.J. Washington has attempted a lowly 11.0 field goals per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 13.4 rate last year. P.J. Washington has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have put up 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

P.J. Washington has attempted a lowly 11.0 field goals per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 13.4 rate last year. P.J. Washington has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have put up 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-148

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren places in the 84th percentile, logging a massive 16.0 points per game on the road this year. Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 35.7% of their shots from downtown (88th percentile).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren places in the 84th percentile, logging a massive 16.0 points per game on the road this year. Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 35.7% of their shots from downtown (88th percentile).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
34.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted just 8.7 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 10.8 rate last year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 34.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.1
Prop:
34.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.1

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted just 8.7 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 10.8 rate last year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
+114

Jalen Williams has made 9.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from home. Jalen Williams has successfully made an impressive 42.6% of his shots from downtown this year, a significant increase from his 33.7 rate last year. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Jalen Williams has made 9.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from home. Jalen Williams has successfully made an impressive 42.6% of his shots from downtown this year, a significant increase from his 33.7 rate last year. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 98th percentile for shooting proficiency playing at home with an excellent 71.6% rate this year. In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder). Dereck Lively II has attempted 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Dereck Lively II will likely get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 98th percentile for shooting proficiency playing at home with an excellent 71.6% rate this year. In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder). Dereck Lively II has attempted 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Dereck Lively II will likely get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
+111
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
+111
Projection Rating

Josh Giddey has sunk 55.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year away from home. Josh Giddey has converted 52.0% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 18.6% more than he's made in all games this year while playing on the road. Josh Giddey has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.4 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Josh Giddey has sunk 55.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year away from home. Josh Giddey has converted 52.0% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 18.6% more than he's made in all games this year while playing on the road. Josh Giddey has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.4 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. In regard to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 114.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
+105

Kyrie Irving has tallied 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 97th percentile for three-pointers hit, averaging 3.0 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 42.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Kyrie Irving has tallied 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 97th percentile for three-pointers hit, averaging 3.0 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 42.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+106

In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. The faceoff with Chet Holmgren rates in just the 88th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs averaging a monstrous 15.5 points per game this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder). Daniel Gafford has attempted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the foul line slots into only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 4.7 foul shots per game this year.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

In regard to scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 116.9 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA this year. The faceoff with Chet Holmgren rates in just the 88th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs averaging a monstrous 15.5 points per game this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder). Daniel Gafford has attempted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the foul line slots into only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 4.7 foul shots per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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