MIN 8.0 o222.0
BOS -8.0 u222.0
WAS 12.0 o241.0
IND -12.0 u241.0
LAC -2.0 o210.5
PHI 2.0 u210.5
DAL 3.0 o222.5
MIA -3.0 u222.5
TOR 11.5 o234.5
CLE -11.5 u234.5
BK 9.5 o224.5
SAC -9.5 u224.5
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25

Minnesota @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
+1200

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 2.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year playing at home. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.6). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 2.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year playing at home. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.6). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
+1000

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 13.2 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season when playing at home. Michael Porter Jr. has played 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.3 higher than he's played overall this year at home. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. Michael Porter Jr. is expected to see a rise in performance in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 13.2 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season when playing at home. Michael Porter Jr. has played 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.3 higher than he's played overall this year at home. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. Michael Porter Jr. is expected to see a rise in performance in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
+900

Aaron Gordon has made 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made overall this season. Aaron Gordon has made 57.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 30.1% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 37.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on the road (6th-most in the NBA).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Aaron Gordon has made 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made overall this season. Aaron Gordon has made 57.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 30.1% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 37.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on the road (6th-most in the NBA).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
+128

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7). The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7). The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Anthony Edwards has totaled 32.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.3 higher than he's totaled overall this year on the road. Anthony Edwards has made 3.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Anthony Edwards has played 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.3 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Anthony Edwards has totaled 32.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.3 higher than he's totaled overall this year on the road. Anthony Edwards has made 3.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Anthony Edwards has played 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.3 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-109

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 94th percentile for shooting effectiveness on the road with a remarkable 62.2% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road. The number of points put up against Nikola Jokic has been very high (16.2 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 94th percentile for shooting effectiveness on the road with a remarkable 62.2% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road. The number of points put up against Nikola Jokic has been very high (16.2 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has sunk 2.3 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley places in the 89th percentile for free-throw efficiency while on the road with a superb 88.8% rate this year. The matchup vs. Denver may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the NBA).

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Mike Conley has sunk 2.3 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley places in the 89th percentile for free-throw efficiency while on the road with a superb 88.8% rate this year. The matchup vs. Denver may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the NBA).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has sunk 48.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Christian Braun has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.7% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. Christian Braun will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Christian Braun

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Christian Braun has sunk 48.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Christian Braun has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.7% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. Christian Braun will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Naz Reid has successfully made 2.0 threes per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

Naz Reid

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Naz Reid has successfully made 2.0 threes per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jamal Murray has attempted 19.7 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jamal Murray has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. Jamal Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Jamal Murray ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats due to having the home court advantage in this game.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Jamal Murray has attempted 19.7 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jamal Murray has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. Jamal Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Jamal Murray ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats due to having the home court advantage in this game.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
34.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-425
Prop
34.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-425
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile). The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 34.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.1
Prop:
34.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.1

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile). The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Karl-Anthony Towns has notched 21.3 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 93rd percentile. Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 45.1% of his 3-pointers without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Karl-Anthony Towns has notched 21.3 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 93rd percentile. Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 45.1% of his 3-pointers without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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