MIN 8.0 o222.0
BOS -8.0 u222.0
WAS 12.0 o241.0
IND -12.0 u241.0
LAC -2.0 o210.5
PHI 2.0 u210.5
DAL 3.0 o222.5
MIA -3.0 u222.5
TOR 11.5 o234.5
CLE -11.5 u234.5
BK 9.5 o224.5
SAC -9.5 u224.5
Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
ESPN, ESPN2, TSN

Indiana @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+5000

Payton Pritchard has converted 6.5 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games at home, 2.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home. Payton Pritchard has played 27.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 4.5 more than he's played overall this season at home. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.0% more than he's made overall this season. Payton Pritchard is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Payton Pritchard has converted 6.5 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games at home, 2.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home. Payton Pritchard has played 27.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 4.5 more than he's played overall this season at home. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.0% more than he's made overall this season. Payton Pritchard is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Over
+190

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Pacers, finding it easy to draw fouls. Jaylen Brown will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Pacers, finding it easy to draw fouls. Jaylen Brown will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
+114

Derrick White has converted 3.7 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this season. Derrick White has averaged 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a positive one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0). Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 85th percentile for foul-shot proficiency at home with a phenomenal 89.3% rate this year.

Derrick White

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Derrick White has converted 3.7 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this season. Derrick White has averaged 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a positive one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0). Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 85th percentile for foul-shot proficiency at home with a phenomenal 89.3% rate this year.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pacers. The 6th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the league). Tyrese Haliburton will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pacers. The 6th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the league). Tyrese Haliburton will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-136

The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). T.J. McConnell has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's sunk overall this season.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). T.J. McConnell has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-140

Aaron Nesmith has made an impressive 41.6% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly higher than his 32.8 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 28.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Nesmith has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Aaron Nesmith has made an impressive 41.6% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly higher than his 32.8 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 28.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Nesmith has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday registers in the 91st percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a remarkable 44.4% rate this year. Jrue Holiday has averaged 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged overall this year. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. Jrue Holiday stands to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday registers in the 91st percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a remarkable 44.4% rate this year. Jrue Holiday has averaged 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged overall this year. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. Jrue Holiday stands to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Al Horford has sunk 60.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 7.3% higher than he's converted overall this year playing at home. Al Horford has attempted 7.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Al Horford has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The number of three-point shots drained against Myles Turner has been remarkably high (0.7 per game) when he is away from his home court and facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Al Horford has sunk 60.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 7.3% higher than he's converted overall this year playing at home. Al Horford has attempted 7.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Al Horford has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. The number of three-point shots drained against Myles Turner has been remarkably high (0.7 per game) when he is away from his home court and facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Myles Turner has successfully made 65.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Myles Turner has converted 59.4% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 24.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Myles Turner has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The clash with Al Horford measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs posting a monstrous 15.1 points per game this year when they are on the away squad. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Myles Turner

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Myles Turner has successfully made 65.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Myles Turner has converted 59.4% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 24.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Myles Turner has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The clash with Al Horford measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs posting a monstrous 15.1 points per game this year when they are on the away squad. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-150

Pascal Siakam has sunk 8.4 shots made from the field per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Pascal Siakam has sunk 58.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 24.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Pascal Siakam has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Pascal Siakam lands in the 93rd percentile for drawing fouls, registering a colossal 4.8 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Pascal Siakam has sunk 8.4 shots made from the field per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Pascal Siakam has sunk 58.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 24.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Pascal Siakam has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Pascal Siakam lands in the 93rd percentile for drawing fouls, registering a colossal 4.8 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-167

Andrew Nembhard has made 57.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Andrew Nembhard has made 55.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.8 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup. The matchup vs. Derrick White is a positive one for 3-pointers; when White is playing at home other starting SGs this year, they have sunk an enormous 34.9% of their three-point attempts (75th percentile).

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Andrew Nembhard has made 57.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Andrew Nembhard has made 55.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Andrew Nembhard has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.8 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup. The matchup vs. Derrick White is a positive one for 3-pointers; when White is playing at home other starting SGs this year, they have sunk an enormous 34.9% of their three-point attempts (75th percentile).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.3
Best Odds
Over
-146

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile, compiling an enormous 26.6 points per game this year. Jayson Tatum has averaged 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. Jayson Tatum has successfully made 7.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Pacers is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.8 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.3
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.3

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile, compiling an enormous 26.6 points per game this year. Jayson Tatum has averaged 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Celtics's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year. Jayson Tatum has successfully made 7.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Pacers is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.8 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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