Dallas @ Minnesota picks

Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.7 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a tough matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Luka Doncic figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Jaden McDaniels has compiled 1.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's compiled in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. Jaden McDaniels stands to see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 75th percentile for three-point effectiveness while at home with a superb 39.4% rate this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.1 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 8th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (5.2).

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games, 0.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards has successfully made 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season at home. Anthony Edwards has averaged 40.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged overall this season. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup. The rate of field goals drained against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (43.8%) when matched up against other starting SGs this year (100th percentile).

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 54.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 46.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted in all games this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 33.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season when playing away from home.

Kyrie Irving has averaged 1.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 0.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.0 minutes per game away from home this year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 8.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 rate last season. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been lousy at getting to the foul line away from home: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Naz Reid has converted 54.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.1% more than he's converted overall this year. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. Naz Reid has made 86.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home. Naz Reid will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.