Dallas @ Golden State picks

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home since the start of last season in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (5.7). The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Among all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton comes in at the 8th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a subpar 36.4% rate since the start of last season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). De'Anthony Melton has attempted 0.0 foul shots per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 17th percentile among all players in the league. With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 19.9 foul shot attempts per game while on their home court places 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 67.7% of his field goals when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Trayce Jackson-Davis rates in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.3 fouls per game this year. When facing fellow starting Cs, Daniel Gafford slots into the 91st percentile with an enormous 12.7 shots from the field against him per game this year. The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 19.9 foul shot attempts per game while on their home court places 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).