WAS 9.0 o215.5
MIA -9.0 u215.5
NY -7.5 o213.5
BK 7.5 u213.5
ORL -1.0 o221.0
ATL 1.0 u221.0
CHA 12.0 o211.5
BOS -12.0 u211.5
CHI -9.5 o232.5
PHI 9.5 u232.5
DET -7.5 o223.5
MIL 7.5 u223.5
IND -5.5 o227.5
CLE 5.5 u227.5
UTA 23.0 o232.0
MIN -23.0 u232.0
LAL 5.0 o219.5
POR -5.0 u219.5
DEN -9.5 o233.5
HOU 9.5 u233.5
LAC 3.0 o218.5
GS -3.0 u218.5
DAL 3.0 o228.5
MEM -3.0 u228.5
OKC -12.5 o236.5
NO 12.5 u236.5
TOR 5.5 o229.0
SA -5.5 u229.0
PHO 15.0 o223.5
SAC -15.0 u223.5
Golden State 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-32

Golden State @ Denver Picks & Predictions

Ball Arena

GS vs DEN Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
T. Jackson-Davis o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -122 fanduel
Projection updated: 130 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -115
7.5 -120
7.5 -148
7.5 +108
7.5 -120
7.5 -114
7.5 -125
7.5 -105
6.5 -122
6.5 +100

Among all players in the league, Trayce Jackson-Davis comes in at the 93rd percentile for field goal ability away from his home court with an outstanding 63.5% rate this year. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one; he has allowed a massive 20.3 points per game while at home when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The faceoff with Nikola Jokic with respect to getting to the foul line slots into just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 5.2 foul shots per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Total Rebounds
T. Jackson-Davis o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 6.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -118 fanduel
Projection updated: 130 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -135
4.5 +100
4.5 -157
4.5 +118
4.5 -137
4.5 +100
5.5 +105
5.5 -135
4.5 -118
4.5 -104

Trayce Jackson-Davis has posted 1.8 offensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's leaders by this metric recently: 87th percentile. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Total Rebounds
R. Westbrook o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -104 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 130 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -135
3.5 +100
3.5 -104
3.5 -129
3.5 -133
3.5 -103
3.5 -135
3.5 +105
3.5 -142
3.5 +116

The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
B. Podziemski o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -130 draftkings
Projection updated: 130 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -120
9.5 -110
8.5 -136
8.5 +102
9.5 -120
9.5 -114
8.5 -130
8.5 +100
9.5 +104
9.5 -128

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have put up 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a positive matchup for offensive output. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup vs. Denver may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (2nd-most in the league).

Total Rebounds
K. Looney u8.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 7.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u8.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 130 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -145
7.5 +110
7.5 -161
7.5 +116
8.5 +100
8.5 -130
8.5 -110
8.5 -110

Kevon Looney has tallied 15.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 25th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the league. Kevon Looney has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The 8th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. Kevon Looney will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production for all stats.

Points Scored
J. Murray o19.5 Points Scored
Projection 21.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -104 fanduel
Projection updated: 130 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -105
19.5 -125
19.5 -107
19.5 -124
19.5 -114
19.5 -120
19.5 -125
19.5 -105
19.5 -104
19.5 -118

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.0 shots from the field per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray measures in the 85th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 6.2 per game this year. Jamal Murray has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one; when the Golden State Warriors are away from home, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (24.4). The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

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