MIN 8.0 o223.0
BOS -8.0 u223.0
WAS 12.0 o240.5
IND -12.0 u240.5
LAC -1.5 o210.5
PHI 1.5 u210.5
DAL 2.5 o222.0
MIA -2.5 u222.0
TOR 11.5 o234.5
CLE -11.5 u234.5
BK 9.5 o225.0
SAC -9.5 u225.0
Orlando 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE11-7
Miami 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE6-7

Orlando @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 92nd percentile for 3-point attempts, registering 6.7 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 33.5 minutes per game since the start of last season. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged 20.2 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. Terry Rozier has made 88.6% of his foul shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 92nd percentile for 3-point attempts, registering 6.7 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 33.5 minutes per game since the start of last season. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged 20.2 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. Terry Rozier has made 88.6% of his foul shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Franz Wagner has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (83rd percentile). The Orlando Magic check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season. The Magic have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league since the start of last season. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic. Franz Wagner will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Franz Wagner

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Franz Wagner has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (83rd percentile). The Orlando Magic check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season. The Magic have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league since the start of last season. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic. Franz Wagner will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Jonathan Isaac Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Isaac
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jonathan Isaac has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (19th percentile). As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 24.5 free throw attempts per game.

Jonathan Isaac

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Jonathan Isaac has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (19th percentile). As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 24.5 free throw attempts per game.

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boost player production in all stat categories.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boost player production in all stat categories.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Orlando

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 32.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 85.9% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 24.5 free throw attempts per game. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (9th-most in the league) against the Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 32.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 85.9% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 24.5 free throw attempts per game. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (9th-most in the league) against the Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Under
-130

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for unsuccessful three-point shots, logging a monstrous 2.9 per game since the start of last season. The Orlando Magic check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season. The Magic have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league since the start of last season. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for unsuccessful three-point shots, logging a monstrous 2.9 per game since the start of last season. The Orlando Magic check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season. The Magic have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league since the start of last season. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has attempted 17.5 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro registers in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 8.1 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.0 minutes per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.3 fouls per game while at home since the start of last season. Tyler Herro will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Tyler Herro has attempted 17.5 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro registers in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 8.1 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.0 minutes per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.3 fouls per game while at home since the start of last season. Tyler Herro will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jovic ranks in the 90th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a stellar 39.9% rate since the start of last season. Nikola Jovic is expected to see a spike in performance for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jovic ranks in the 90th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a stellar 39.9% rate since the start of last season. Nikola Jovic is expected to see a spike in performance for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Wendell Carter Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter
center C • Orlando
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. measures in the 80th percentile for field goal effectiveness with an exceptional 51.2% rate since the start of last season. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 24.5 free throw attempts per game.

Wendell Carter

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Among all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. measures in the 80th percentile for field goal effectiveness with an exceptional 51.2% rate since the start of last season. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 24.5 free throw attempts per game.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has converted 7.5 buckets per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.2 minutes per game since the start of last season. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo ought to see a spike in production for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Bam Adebayo has converted 7.5 buckets per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.2 minutes per game since the start of last season. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo ought to see a spike in production for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has averaged 20.7 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 90th percentile. Jimmy Butler has sunk 43.2% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game since the start of last season. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have compiled 18.9 points per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive production. Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.7 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Jimmy Butler has averaged 20.7 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 90th percentile. Jimmy Butler has sunk 43.2% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game since the start of last season. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have compiled 18.9 points per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive production. Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.7 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Jalen Suggs Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Suggs
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jalen Suggs slots into the 84th percentile for 3-pointers made, logging 2.0 per game since the start of last season. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 24.5 free throw attempts per game.

Jalen Suggs

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Among all players in the league, Jalen Suggs slots into the 84th percentile for 3-pointers made, logging 2.0 per game since the start of last season. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 24.5 free throw attempts per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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