CHA -4.5 o228.0
WAS 4.5 u228.0
MIA 1.0 o208.5
ORL -1.0 u208.5
OKC -5.5 o227.5
IND 5.5 u227.5
CHI 6.5 o242.5
ATL -6.5 u242.5
HOU -8.0 o220.5
NO 8.0 u220.5
BK 10.0 o211.5
MIL -10.0 u211.5
TOR 11.5 o240.0
MEM -11.5 u240.0
DET 6.0 o228.0
SAC -6.0 u228.0
UTA 2.0 o227.0
POR -2.0 u227.0
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE20-9
Dallas 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE19-11

Houston @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Rockets have been the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league on the road since the start of last season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Jalen Green will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

Jalen Green

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

The Rockets have been the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league on the road since the start of last season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Jalen Green will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 99th percentile for scoring efficiency on his home court with an excellent 71.3% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.3 points per game rates 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season. Dereck Lively II will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

Dereck Lively

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 99th percentile for scoring efficiency on his home court with an excellent 71.3% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.3 points per game rates 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season. Dereck Lively II will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

Jabari Smith Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, posting 5.0 per game since the start of last season. Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, posting 5.0 per game since the start of last season. Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has attempted 5.1 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.1 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Dallas may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 free throws per game over the last 17 games when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (8th-most in the NBA).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Dillon Brooks has attempted 5.1 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.1 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Dallas may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 free throws per game over the last 17 games when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (8th-most in the NBA).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 84th percentile for three-point attempts while on his home court, putting up 6.0 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.6 minutes per game since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.3 points per game rates 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league). P.J. Washington should get a boost in productivity for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 84th percentile for three-point attempts while on his home court, putting up 6.0 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.6 minutes per game since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.3 points per game rates 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league). P.J. Washington should get a boost in productivity for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Dončić
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.7
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.7
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Luka Dončić

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.7
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.7

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Under
-105

Kyrie Irving has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile). The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are away from home (4th-least in the NBA).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Kyrie Irving has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile). The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are away from home (4th-least in the NBA).

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford slots into the 95th percentile for shooting performance playing at home with an impressive 65.6% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.3 points per game rates 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Alperen Sengun is a good one; he has given up a whopping 17.0 points per game on the road when facing opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (96th percentile). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Alperen Sengun has been very high since the start of last season (4.5 foul shots per game when they are at home: 89th percentile). Daniel Gafford will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford slots into the 95th percentile for shooting performance playing at home with an impressive 65.6% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.3 points per game rates 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Alperen Sengun is a good one; he has given up a whopping 17.0 points per game on the road when facing opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (96th percentile). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Alperen Sengun has been very high since the start of last season (4.5 foul shots per game when they are at home: 89th percentile). Daniel Gafford will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has attempted 9.0 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 29.7 minutes per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson comes in at the 12th percentile for personal fouls, registering a lowly 0.3 fouls per game while at home since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.3 points per game rates 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Houston is a good one for threes; when the Rockets are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Klay Thompson has attempted 9.0 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 29.7 minutes per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson comes in at the 12th percentile for personal fouls, registering a lowly 0.3 fouls per game while at home since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 115.3 points per game rates 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Houston is a good one for threes; when the Rockets are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 85th percentile for field goal attempts, posting 13.9 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 97th percentile for 3-pointers drained, compiling 3.1 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.8 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 85th percentile for field goal attempts, posting 13.9 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 97th percentile for 3-pointers drained, compiling 3.1 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.8 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Alperen Şengün Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Şengün
center C • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Alperen Sengun has sunk 7.7 shots made from the field per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.6 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The rate of 3-point shots scored against Daniel Gafford has been very high (35.4%) when matched up against opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (78th percentile). The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup with Daniel Gafford in terms of getting to the foul line places in just the 81st percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.6 free throws per game since the start of last season.

Alperen Şengün

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Alperen Sengun has sunk 7.7 shots made from the field per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.6 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The rate of 3-point shots scored against Daniel Gafford has been very high (35.4%) when matched up against opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (78th percentile). The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup with Daniel Gafford in terms of getting to the foul line places in just the 81st percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.6 free throws per game since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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